Seattle @ Baltimore picks

Across nine at-bats vs. Orioles SP Dean Kremer, Josh Naylor has six hits, one homer, and five RBI. Naylor is flourishing at the dish with a .346 average this month, and he has big power, despite going deep only 15 times. 

Mariners slugger Cal Raleigh has a favorable matchup tonight against Orioles right-hander Dean Kremer. Although Raleigh is only 1-for-8 against Kremer, the SP is having a rough season, allowing 18 long balls in 23 appearances.  Left-handed hitters have taken him deep 11 times, and the switch-hitting catcher is red-hot right now. He’s smacked 23 of his bombs on the road, too.

Kremer has a tough walk matchup vs. the Mariners, who rank second in the league in BB% over the last two weeks at 10.8% which is 0.1 point shorter than the best in baseball. It's a hot day in Camden, and Kremer has allowed at least one walk in 16 straight starts where he has been profitable to this Over. This should be a coinflip vs. a neutral matchup, but the setting (potential light showers) and opponent don't seem fully priced in here. 

Jorge Polanco has hit right-handed pitching well this season. He owns a respectable .250 average and has generated real power, sporting a .225 ISO against righties. That power should come to light in a matchup against Dean Kremer. He has given up a lot of power to left-handed hitters, conceding 1.40 homers per nine innings while allowing barrels and flyballs at a noticeably higher rate than when facing right-handed bats. Polanco has only faced Kremer four times but has taken him yard. Don’t be surprised if he gets ahold of one again.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 10th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average talent.. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Julio Rodriguez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Jordan Westburg is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jordan Westburg hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 17th-best hitter in the league.. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage over George Kirby in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Among all major league stadiums, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF fences are the shallowest.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as the majors's 15th-best home run batter.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Eugenio Suarez has paced 48.1 homers per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 100th percentile for power.

When estimating his home run talent, Dominic Canzone ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Among all major league stadiums, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF fences are the shallowest.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Dominic Canzone will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Randy Arozarena hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as the majors's 15th-best home run batter.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Eugenio Suarez has paced 48.1 homers per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 100th percentile for power.

It may be smart to expect stronger performance for the Baltimore Orioles offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 10th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.. The #4 field in the game for boosting home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Among all major league stadiums, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF fences are the shallowest.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The Baltimore Orioles have 6 hitters in the projected offense that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Kirby in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Ryan Noda will have an edge in today's matchup.. Ryan Noda pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Ryan Noda will hold that advantage today.