Chicago @ Toronto picks

Cubs SP Ben Brown is struggling on the mound and leans very heavily on his four-seam fastball, a pitch Blue Jays batters feast on. This is especially the case for Joey Loperfido, who sports a batting average of .500 with an .808 slugging rate against the pitch.

Jose Berrios has averaged just 82.5 pitches per start across his last 10 games and has touched more than 91 pitches just one time since June 4 —  a stretch of 13 starts. The Cubs offense rolls into Toronto on a cold streak, but the heat coupled with Berrios’ form (5.71 ERA since July 1) and an open roof at the Rogers Center could help this visiting offense hang some crooked numbers. The Jays were also off yesterday so the bullpen is reset and ready to eat some innings in a big series. His leash is getting tighter with the importance of each game down the stretch and THE BAT is projecting 15.45 outs on just 85 pitches. Play this to -125. 

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 8th-best batter in baseball.. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 field in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

Seiya Suzuki projects as the 16th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Rogers Centre projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Seiya Suzuki hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.9% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Rogers Centre projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

Ty France's batting average ability is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ty France is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. Rogers Centre projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Rogers Centre projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is predicted to have the 5th-most humidity of all games today (75%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

When estimating his home run talent, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The #3 field in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 6th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average skill.. Bo Bichette is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Rogers Centre projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

Carson Kelly is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Rogers Centre projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Power-wise, Carson Kelly is positioned in the 80th percentile, having averaged 26.2 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Michael Busch is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. The #3 field in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Rogers Centre projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Dansby Swanson hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.