Philadelphia @ Cincinnati picks

Since rejoining the Phillies rotation on July 8, Taijuan Walker's allowed nine runs in 24 2/3 IP for a 3.28 ERA. The Phillies are 3-2 in those five starts as he hasn’t allowed more than three runs in any of those outings. The Phillies tagged Reds SP Andrew Abbott for four runs on nine hits through just 3 1/3 innings last month, giving us solid value at plus money on the Philly ML.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best park in MLB for righty home runs.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Harrison Bader will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's game.. Harrison Bader pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.7% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Harrison Bader has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.9-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 93.3-mph.

Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best venue in the game for left-handed home runs.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Bryce Harper has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP talent.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best venue in the game for left-handed home runs.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Taijuan Walker.

J.T. Realmuto's BABIP skill is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best park in MLB for righty home runs.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. J.T. Realmuto will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best park in MLB for righty home runs.. Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Edmundo Sosa will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best park in MLB for righty home runs.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Matt McLain has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the worst among every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best park in MLB for righty home runs.. Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.

When assessing his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 11th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best park in MLB for righty home runs.. Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.

Spencer Steer has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best park in MLB for righty home runs.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the worst among every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best park in MLB for righty home runs.. Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Otto Kemp will have an advantage in today's game.