Boston @ Houston Picks & Props

The shallowest left field dimensions in MLB are found in Minute Maid Park. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Connor Wong's true offensive talent to be a .296, providing some evidence that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .095 deviation between that figure and his actual .201 wOBA. Checking in at the 80th percentile, Connor Wong has notched a .314 BABIP since the start of last season.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Jesus Sanchez has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Jesus Sanchez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Jesus Sanchez has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.1-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 92.4-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Minute Maid Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for homers. Abraham Toro has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 91-mph average to last season's 89-mph EV.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Romy Gonzalez is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitters such as Romy Gonzalez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Cristian Javier who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Romy Gonzalez has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.5% rate last year to 16.5% this season. Romy Gonzalez has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.6-mph average to last year's 92.3-mph mark. Over the past 14 days, Romy Gonzalez's 68.4% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.1%.

Victor Caratini is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Victor Caratini will hold that advantage today. Victor Caratini has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 96.2-mph in the last week. With a .272 batting average this year, Victor Caratini grades out in the 78th percentile.

Masataka Yoshida's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Minute Maid Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for homers. Masataka Yoshida will hold the platoon advantage against Cristian Javier in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Masataka Yoshida tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Cristian Javier.

The shallowest left field dimensions in MLB are found in Minute Maid Park. Ranked in the 83rd percentile, Carlos Narvaez has one of the highest average exit velocities in MLB this year (91.4-mph).

When it comes to his batting average ability, Jeremy Pena is projected as the 20th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The shallowest left field dimensions in MLB are found in Minute Maid Park. Jeremy Pena will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's game. Jeremy Pena will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Carlos Correa is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The shallowest left field dimensions in MLB are found in Minute Maid Park. Carlos Correa will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's matchup. Carlos Correa will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Roman Anthony is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Batting from the opposite that Cristian Javier throws from, Roman Anthony will have an advantage in today's matchup. Roman Anthony has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Roman Anthony are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Cristian Javier.

Jose Altuve's batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Altuve is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Jose Altuve will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jose Altuve will hold that advantage today.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Alex Bregman pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. This season, Alex Bregman has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.1 mph compared to last year's 90.9 mph mark. Alex Bregman has notched a .395 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 98th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Trevor Story is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Grading out in the 91st percentile, Trevor Story has notched a .332 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Yainer Diaz is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Yainer Diaz will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Crochet in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Yainer Diaz will hold that advantage today. Yainer Diaz has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 102.8-mph average over the last week to his seasonal average of 93.6-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Mauricio Dubon will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Mauricio Dubon will hold that advantage today. Mauricio Dubon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 12.1% to 20.3%. In the past two weeks, Mauricio Dubon's 55.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Jarren Duran is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Jarren Duran will have the handedness advantage against Cristian Javier today. Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. There has been a significant improvement in Jarren Duran's launch angle from last season's 9.4° to 12.7° this year.

The shallowest left field dimensions in MLB are found in Minute Maid Park. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Ramon Urias will have the upper hand in today's game. Ramon Urias will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Ramon Urias has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 7.1% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last two weeks. Over the past two weeks, Ramon Urias's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.6%.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Wilyer Abreu will have the handedness advantage against Cristian Javier today. Wilyer Abreu's launch angle this year (24°) is quite a bit better than his 19° figure last year. In the last week, Wilyer Abreu's 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.9%.

Chas McCormick will hold the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's game. Chas McCormick will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. This season, Chas McCormick has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.4 mph compared to last year's 90.9 mph mark. Chas McCormick's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (24°) is quite a bit higher than his 15.6° mark last season. Chas McCormick has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .264 figure is a good deal lower than his .317 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Christian Walker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet today. Christian Walker pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage today. Christian Walker has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 98.1-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.2-mph average.