Los Angeles @ Los Angeles picks

Freddie Freeman has been on fire, hitting four home runs and averaging 2.8 total bases in his last 10 games. He’s hit safely in eight of those games, so he’s had both a high floor and a high ceiling.  The veteran first baseman crushes right-handed pitching (149 wRC+). Angels SP Jose Soriano is known for the go-to sinker he throws 51% of the time, but Freeman has a higher career wRC+ against sinkers (179) than any other pitch type. 

 

Yamamoto last took the mound on August 3, and it was another solid outing. He tossed 5 2/3 innings against the Rays, giving up zero runs. In fact, he’s hit the Under in earned runs surrendered in three of his previous four starts, and two of them were scoreless outings. 

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Taylor Ward ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all parks, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Extreme groundball batters like Taylor Ward tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Yoshinobu Yamamoto.. Among every team in action today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Mookie Betts is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Among all parks, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Extreme flyball batters like Mookie Betts tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jose Soriano.. Mookie Betts's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 17.4% to 20.4%.

Among all parks, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Jose Soriano throws from, Michael Conforto will have an edge in today's matchup.. Michael Conforto's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 15.4% on the season to 8.3% in the past week's worth of games.. Compared to last season, Michael Conforto has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 40.6% to 46.1% this season.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.233) may lead us to conclude that Michael Conforto has experienced some negative variance this year with his .190 actual batting average.

When assessing his home run talent, Logan O'Hoppe ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Among all parks, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Among all the teams playing today, the 12th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.. Logan O'Hoppe will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. Logan O'Hoppe has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.6-mph average to last year's 94.6-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. Among all parks, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Over the past 7 days, Teoscar Hernandez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.7% up to 35.7%.. Teoscar Hernandez has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph to 95.5-mph in the last week.

When assessing his home run skill, Jo Adell ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Among all parks, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Among every team in action today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jo Adell will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. The Barrel% of Jo Adell has significantly improved, with an increase from 11.8% last year to 17.1% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Mike Trout as MLB's 9th-best home run hitter.. Mike Trout is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all parks, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Extreme groundball hitters like Mike Trout are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Yoshinobu Yamamoto.. Among every team in action today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers.

It may be best to expect better numbers for the Los Angeles Angels offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 8th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.. Among all parks, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Given that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, Yoshinobu Yamamoto (49% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 FB hitters in Los Angeles's projected lineup.. Among all the teams playing today, the 12th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.. Yoshinobu Yamamoto will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Taylor Ward ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all parks, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Extreme groundball batters like Taylor Ward tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Yoshinobu Yamamoto.. Among all the teams playing today, the 12th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Among all parks, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Among every team in action today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Travis d'Arnaud will hold that advantage today.. Travis d'Arnaud's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 12.2% to 20.8%.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (26.5) provides evidence that Travis d'Arnaud has had bad variance on his side this year with his 19.1 actual HR/600.