Milwaukee @ Atlanta picks
Truist Park
MIL vs ATL Picks
MLB Picks
Total

Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves sport a 15th-ranked wOBA against lefties, and the Brewers check in ninth. I’m just expecting Atlanta star Spencer Strider to pitch well. He’s beginning to find top form again with a 2.91 ERA, 3.15 xFIP and 31.1 K% while allowing three runs or fewer in each of his past nine starts. Additionally, Milwaukee veteran Jose Quintana has also turned back the clock with a 3.50 ERA, and while his underlying 4.80 xFIP calls for tougher times ahead, I’m expecting him to keep the Atlanta lineup off balance enough Wednesday.
Total Home Runs


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Total RBIs

Marcell Ozuna o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Truist Park profiles as the #4 ballpark in the league for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Marcell Ozuna will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's game.
Total RBIs

Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ozzie Albies is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Truist Park profiles as the #4 ballpark in the league for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Jose Quintana.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Ozzie Albies will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs

Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Truist Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Matt Olson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Truist Park profiles as the #4 ballpark in the league for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Sean Murphy o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Sean Murphy has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (58% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Truist Park profiles as the #4 ballpark in the league for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Sean Murphy will have an advantage today.
Total RBIs

Jurickson Profar o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Truist Park profiles as the #4 ballpark in the league for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Jose Quintana.. Jurickson Profar will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.. In the past 7 days, Jurickson Profar's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.4% up to 20%.
Total RBIs

Michael Harris II o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Michael Harris II has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (81% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Truist Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Michael Harris II will hold that advantage today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Anthony Seigler o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 1.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Truist Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 5th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Spencer Strider throws from, Anthony Seigler will have an advantage today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

William Contreras o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Truist Park profiles as the #4 ballpark in the league for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Outs Recorded

Spencer Strider u17.5 Outs Recorded (+120)
Projection 16.9 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Truist Park projects as the #8 field in the majors for base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The Milwaukee Brewers have 6 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider today.. Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Spencer Strider has relied on his fastball a lot this year, though: 54.4% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.. Spencer Strider has shown weak control this year, putting up a 12th percentile walk rate of 10.1%.