Cleveland @ New York picks

New York will look to Clay Holmes to right the ship tonight. Turning Holmes into a starter has paid dividends for the Mets in 2025, though his production may be waning as he gets deeper into the season. Cleveland Guardians starter Logan Allen is solid and has been giving Cleveland 6+ innings in most of his starts. He’s also a lefty: the Mets are batting just .225 with a .657 OPS against southpaws, significantly worse than their output against righties. I’m not sure if Cleveland can get a second straight win at Citi Field, but I like the Guardians to cover the run line tonight.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have an advantage in today's game.. Francisco Alvarez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Pete Alonso projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Pete Alonso will have the handedness advantage over Logan Allen in today's game.

The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Cedric Mullins will hold that advantage in today's game.. Cedric Mullins's launch angle in recent games (28° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 24.3° seasonal mark.. Cedric Mullins's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (16.3°) is a considerable increase over his 12.5° angle last year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Logan Allen in this game.. Francisco Lindor pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Extreme flyball bats like Jose Ramirez tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Clay Holmes.

Bo Naylor has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (96% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Bo Naylor will have the handedness advantage over Clay Holmes in today's matchup.. Bo Naylor hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences today.. Extreme groundball hitters like Bo Naylor usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Clay Holmes.

Kyle Manzardo is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Kyle Manzardo will hold the platoon advantage over Clay Holmes in today's game.. Kyle Manzardo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball hitters like Kyle Manzardo generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Clay Holmes.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Logan Allen in this game.. Francisco Lindor pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.