LIVE Top 3rd Aug 18
MIL 1 +106 o8.0
CHC 0 -114 u8.0
HOU +135 o8.0
DET -147 u8.0
TOR -106 o7.0
PIT -102 u7.0
STL +128 o7.5
MIA -139 u7.5
SEA -100 o8.0
PHI -108 u8.0
BAL +108 o8.0
BOS -117 u8.0
CHW +178 o8.5
ATL -196 u8.5
TEX +115 o9.0
KC -124 u9.0
MIL +112 o9.0
CHC -122 u9.0
LAD -283 o11.0
COL +252 u11.0
CIN -110 o9.5
LAA +102 u9.5
SF +126 o7.5
SD -136 u7.5
CLE +101 o8.5
AZ -109 u8.5

Cincinnati @ Chicago picks

Wrigley Field

CIN vs CHC Picks

MLB Picks
MoneyLine
Cincinnati Reds logo
CIN (+125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 days ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

I'm still not sure why the Cubs didn't land a more impactful starting pitcher than Michael Soroka at the trade deadline. And while The Friendly Confines can be challenging for visiting teams, I'm not sure why the Reds are such underdogs with Nick Lodolo on the bump opposite Soroka. 

Outs Recorded
Nick Lodolo logo Nick Lodolo u17.5 Outs Recorded (+110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 days ago
Andrew Caley image
Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst

Lodolo is due for a bit of a regression with an xERA sitting at 3.60. Current Cubs hitters have combined for a .322 batting average and a .533 slugging percentage against Lodolo while striking out just 21.9% of the time over 105 plate appearances.

Total RBIs
Kyle Tucker logo
Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 days ago
EV Model Rating
Kyle Tucker projects as the 8th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. Among every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.. Kyle Tucker will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Outs Recorded
Nick Lodolo logo
Nick Lodolo u17.5 Outs Recorded (+108)
Projection 16.3 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 days ago
EV Model Rating
The 4th-best projected batting order of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the the Chicago Cubs.. Projected catcher Tyler Stephenson profiles as a weak pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Nick Lodolo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.. Nick Lodolo's 93-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a notable 1.1-mph drop off from last year's 94.1-mph figure.. Nick Lodolo has been very fortunate when it comes to his ERA this year; his 3.09 figure is deflated compared to his 3.83 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Michael Busch logo
Michael Busch o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-169)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 days ago
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.. Michael Busch will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Michael Busch has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 15.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 8.3% in the last week's worth of games.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Justin Turner logo
Justin Turner o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 days ago
EV Model Rating
The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field.. Justin Turner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo today.. Among every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.. Justin Turner will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. Justin Turner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 19.1% to 24.6%.
Total Bases
Carson Kelly logo
Carson Kelly u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 days ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 14th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Wrigley Field profiles as the #22 stadium in MLB for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The league's 7th-highest fence height (on average) can be found at Wrigley Field.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts the 6th-most favorable pitching conditions on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Jake Fraley logo
Jake Fraley o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-149)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 days ago
EV Model Rating
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, Jake Fraley will have an advantage today.. Jake Fraley's launch angle this year (18.6°) is considerably higher than his 10.9° angle last season.. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.6°, Jake Fraley has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 22.5° figure over the past 14 days.. With a 1.62 K/BB rate this year, Jake Fraley has demonstrated strong plate discipline, ranking in the 87th percentile.
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CIN vs CHC Consensus Picks

View all Consensus Picks

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

64% picking Cincinnati vs Chi. Cubs to go Over

64%
36%

Total PicksCIN 281, CHC 160

Total
Over
Under

CIN vs CHC Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nico Hoerner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Nico Hoerner
N. Hoerner
second base 2B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Wrigley Field as the 7th-worst ballpark in MLB for right-handed batting average. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Nico Hoerner has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game. Over the past two weeks, Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 86.6 mph to 82.3 mph.

Nico Hoerner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Wrigley Field as the 7th-worst ballpark in MLB for right-handed batting average. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Nico Hoerner has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game. Over the past two weeks, Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 86.6 mph to 82.3 mph.

Michael Busch Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Michael Busch
M. Busch
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Busch is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Among every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Michael Busch will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Michael Busch

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Busch is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Among every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Michael Busch will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Jake Fraley Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Jake Fraley
J. Fraley
right outfield RF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, Jake Fraley will have an advantage today. Jake Fraley's launch angle this year (18.6°) is considerably higher than his 10.9° angle last season. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.6°, Jake Fraley has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 22.5° figure over the past 14 days. With a 1.62 K/BB rate this year, Jake Fraley has demonstrated strong plate discipline, ranking in the 87th percentile.

Jake Fraley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, Jake Fraley will have an advantage today. Jake Fraley's launch angle this year (18.6°) is considerably higher than his 10.9° angle last season. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.6°, Jake Fraley has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 22.5° figure over the past 14 days. With a 1.62 K/BB rate this year, Jake Fraley has demonstrated strong plate discipline, ranking in the 87th percentile.

Kyle Tucker Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Kyle Tucker
K. Tucker
right outfield RF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Kyle Tucker projects as the 8th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Among every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Kyle Tucker will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Kyle Tucker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Kyle Tucker projects as the 8th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Among every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Kyle Tucker will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Pete Crow-Armstrong Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Pete Crow-Armstrong
P. Crow-Armstrong
center outfield CF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Among every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold that advantage in today's game.

Pete Crow-Armstrong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Among every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold that advantage in today's game.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Justin Turner
J. Turner
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Justin Turner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo today. Among every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Justin Turner will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Justin Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Justin Turner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo today. Among every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Justin Turner will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Dansby Swanson
D. Swanson
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Dansby Swanson will have an advantage today. Among every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Dansby Swanson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Dansby Swanson will have an advantage today. Among every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Austin Hays Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Austin Hays
A. Hays
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Austin Hays is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Austin Hays pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Austin Hays has compiled a .323 BABIP this year, ranking in the 79th percentile.

Austin Hays

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Austin Hays is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Austin Hays pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Austin Hays has compiled a .323 BABIP this year, ranking in the 79th percentile.

Seiya Suzuki Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Seiya Suzuki
S. Suzuki
right outfield RF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 18th-best batter in MLB. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have an edge in today's matchup.

Seiya Suzuki

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 18th-best batter in MLB. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have an edge in today's matchup.

Elly De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Elly De La Cruz
E. De La Cruz
shortstop SS • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP talent. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Mike Soroka. Elly De La Cruz has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Elly De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP talent. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Mike Soroka. Elly De La Cruz has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Matt McLain Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Matt McLain
M. McLain
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Matt McLain is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Matt McLain has been unlucky this year, posting a .291 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .031 deviation.

Matt McLain

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Matt McLain is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Matt McLain has been unlucky this year, posting a .291 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .031 deviation.

Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Willi Castro
W. Castro
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Willi Castro is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Willi Castro pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Willi Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Willi Castro is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Willi Castro pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Tyler Stephenson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Tyler Stephenson
T. Stephenson
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Tyler Stephenson has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 100.1-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 91.3-mph figure. Tyler Stephenson has compiled a .351 BABIP this year, checking in at the 91st percentile.

Tyler Stephenson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Tyler Stephenson has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 100.1-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 91.3-mph figure. Tyler Stephenson has compiled a .351 BABIP this year, checking in at the 91st percentile.

Gavin Lux Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Gavin Lux
G. Lux
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Gavin Lux is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Gavin Lux will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mike Soroka in today's game. Gavin Lux's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 12.7% to 16%.

Gavin Lux

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Gavin Lux is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Gavin Lux will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mike Soroka in today's game. Gavin Lux's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 12.7% to 16%.

Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Ke'Bryan Hayes
K. Hayes
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Last season, Ke'Bryan Hayes had an average launch angle of 2.6° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 5.7°. Ke'Bryan Hayes has been unlucky this year, putting up a .255 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .293 — a .038 gap.

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Last season, Ke'Bryan Hayes had an average launch angle of 2.6° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 5.7°. Ke'Bryan Hayes has been unlucky this year, putting up a .255 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .293 — a .038 gap.

Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Ian Happ
I. Happ
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Among every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Ian Happ will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ian Happ

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Among every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Ian Happ will hold that advantage in today's game.

Noelvi Marte Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Noelvi Marte
N. Marte
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Noelvi Marte's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 45% on the season to 56.3% in the past two weeks. Placing in the 77th percentile, Noelvi Marte sits with a .264 batting average this year.

Noelvi Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Noelvi Marte's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 45% on the season to 56.3% in the past two weeks. Placing in the 77th percentile, Noelvi Marte sits with a .264 batting average this year.

Carson Kelly Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Carson Kelly
C. Kelly
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Carson Kelly is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Carson Kelly will have an edge in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Carson Kelly

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Carson Kelly is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Carson Kelly will have an edge in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Spencer Steer
S. Steer
first base 1B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. In the past week, Spencer Steer's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.6% up to 15.4%. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.7°, Spencer Steer has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 22.8° angle in the past two weeks' worth of games. Last year, Spencer Steer had an average launch angle of 11.5° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 16.2°.

Spencer Steer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. In the past week, Spencer Steer's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.6% up to 15.4%. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.7°, Spencer Steer has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 22.8° angle in the past two weeks' worth of games. Last year, Spencer Steer had an average launch angle of 11.5° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 16.2°.

TJ Friedl Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

TJ Friedl
T. Friedl
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

TJ Friedl is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. TJ Friedl will have the handedness advantage against Mike Soroka in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.1°, TJ Friedl has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 29.4° figure over the past two weeks. Sporting a 1.29 K/BB rate this year, TJ Friedl has shown strong plate discipline, checking in at the 94th percentile.

TJ Friedl

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

TJ Friedl is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. TJ Friedl will have the handedness advantage against Mike Soroka in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.1°, TJ Friedl has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 29.4° figure over the past two weeks. Sporting a 1.29 K/BB rate this year, TJ Friedl has shown strong plate discipline, checking in at the 94th percentile.

Matt Shaw Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Matt Shaw
M. Shaw
third base 3B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Matt Shaw will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Lodolo in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Matt Shaw will hold that advantage today. Matt Shaw has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 86.3-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 83.8-mph average.

Matt Shaw

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Matt Shaw will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Lodolo in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Matt Shaw will hold that advantage today. Matt Shaw has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 86.3-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 83.8-mph average.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

CIN vs CHC Preview

Last Meeting ( Jun 1, 2025 ) Cincinnati 3, Chi. Cubs 7

Michael Soroka is scheduled to make his Chicago Cubs debut when the right-hander takes the mound against the visiting Cincinnati Reds in the opener of the teams' three-game series on Monday night.

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