Toronto @ Colorado Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Daulton Varsho is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Daulton Varsho today. Daulton Varsho has had some very good luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .210 mark is a good deal higher than his .186 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. With a .278 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Daulton Varsho grades out in the 15th percentile for hitting ability.

Nathan Lukes has been pinch hit for 17% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year. Nathan Lukes will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Nathan Lukes's average exit velocity has declined recently; his 87.4-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 82.6-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. Over the last 14 days, Nathan Lukes's 13.2% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.4%. Nathan Lukes has posted a .256 BABIP this year, placing in the 9th percentile.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Addison Barger has been pulled from the game early 11% of the time. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Addison Barger in today's matchup. Addison Barger has been lucky this year, compiling a .343 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .320 — a .023 difference. As it relates to plate discipline, Addison Barger's talent is quite bad, putting up a 3.5 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 23rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in the majors as it relates to his batting average skill. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters. Davis Schneider's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (32.5°) is considerably better than his 23.4° mark last year.

Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Eric Lauer throws from, Kyle Farmer will have the upper hand today.

Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters. Braxton Fulford will have the handedness advantage over Eric Lauer in today's matchup.

Mickey Moniak has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (69% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The #1 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters. Thairo Estrada will have the handedness advantage against Eric Lauer in today's matchup.

The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of every team playing today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Warming Bernabel has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 103.9-mph on the top 5% of his batted balls.

Tyler Freeman has been pinch hit for 15% of the time when starting against a left-handed starter this year. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of every team playing today. In the past week's worth of games, Tyler Freeman's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 89.2 mph to 86.9 mph. Tyler Freeman's launch angle this season (8.5°) is considerably worse than his 12.9° angle last year. Tyler Freeman's launch angle lately (-5.7° over the last week) is considerably worse than his 8.5° seasonal figure.

Jordan Beck's BABIP ability is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jordan Beck is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 24th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of every team playing today. Hunter Goodman has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .278 mark is considerably higher than his .219 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a 4.98 K/BB rate this year, Hunter Goodman has demonstrated bad plate discipline, checking in at the 8th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 6th-best hitter in the league as it relates to his batting average ability. Bo Bichette is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Ty France is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup. Tanner Gordon will hold the platoon advantage against Ty France in today's game. Ty France will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Ty France has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 8.1% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week's worth of games. Ty France's launch angle recently (-7° in the past week's worth of games) is considerably lower than his 10.7° seasonal figure.

Ernie Clement is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game. Tanner Gordon will have the handedness advantage over Ernie Clement in today's matchup. Ernie Clement will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. In the past week, Ernie Clement's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 88.6 mph to 85.8 mph. In the last week, Ernie Clement's 5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.6%.

Typically, hitters like Ezequiel Tovar who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Eric Lauer. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #1 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters.

Myles Straw has gone over 0.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.