Minnesota @ Cleveland picks
Progressive Field
MIN vs CLE Picks
MLB Picks
Total Bases


Jason Ence
Betting Analyst
Few hitters have come out of the All-Star break swinging the bat better than Jose Ramirez. The switch-hitting third baseman has posted a split of .333/.441/.649 for the Cleveland Guardians since the break, with nine of his 19 hits going for extra bases. Ramirez also has posted better home splits this season in every category than his away numbers. And last night, he collected two hits in three at-bats, including a two-run bomb to right field to tie the game in the fifth inning.
Total Hits
MG
Mickey Gasper o0.5 Total Hits (+100)
Projection 0.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Progressive Field grades out as the #3 ballpark in the game for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field has the 3rd-shallowest left field fences in the majors.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense.
Total RBIs

Kody Clemens o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kody Clemens is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Progressive Field ranks as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense.. Kody Clemens has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 13.7% seasonal rate to 23.1% over the past 7 days.. Placing in the 93rd percentile, Kody Clemens has notched a .370 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.
Total RBIs

Gabriel Arias o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Progressive Field grades out as the #3 ballpark in the game for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense.. Gabriel Arias has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense grades out as the worst among every team on the slate today.
Total RBIs

Bo Naylor o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Bo Naylor has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (97% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Progressive Field ranks as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense.. Bo Naylor will have the handedness advantage over Jose Urena in today's game.. Bo Naylor may have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins has just 1 same-handed RP.
Total RBIs

Matt Wallner o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Wallner as baseball's 8th-best home run hitter.. Matt Wallner is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Progressive Field ranks as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense.. Matt Wallner pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Carlos Santana o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Carlos Santana is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Progressive Field ranks as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense.. Carlos Santana pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense grades out as the worst among every team on the slate today.
Total RBIs

Royce Lewis o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Royce Lewis has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (70% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Progressive Field grades out as the #3 ballpark in the game for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense.. Royce Lewis will have the handedness advantage over Joey Cantillo today.
Total RBIs

Daniel Schneemann o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Daniel Schneemann is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Progressive Field ranks as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Urena throws from, Daniel Schneemann will have the upper hand in today's game.. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daniel Schneemann can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Total RBIs

Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Progressive Field grades out as the #3 ballpark in the game for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field has the 3rd-shallowest left field fences in the majors.. Batting from the opposite that Joey Cantillo throws from, Ryan Jeffers will have an advantage in today's game.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.7) suggests that Ryan Jeffers has been unlucky this year with his 12.8 actual HR/600.
Total RBIs

Angel Martinez o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Progressive Field ranks as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense.. Angel Martinez pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among every team on the slate today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Angel Martinez will hold that advantage in today's game.