Milwaukee @ Washington props

Nationals Park profiles as the #26 ballpark in the majors for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andrew Vaughn today. Posting a 3.71 K/BB rate this year, Andrew Vaughn has demonstrated poor plate discipline, checking in at the 22nd percentile. Andrew Vaughn has posted a .252 BABIP this year, checking in at the 8th percentile.

Nationals Park profiles as the #26 park in the game for LHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Mitchell Parker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Christian Yelich in today's game. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Christian Yelich in today's matchup. Christian Yelich's launch angle this year (1°) is a significant dropoff from his 5.1° figure last year.

Nationals Park profiles as the #26 ballpark in the majors for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. William Contreras has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 10% rate last year has fallen to 4.9% this year.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and James Wood will hold that advantage in today's game. James Wood has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 99.6-mph average to last year's 96.6-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brice Turang has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last season's 87-mph mark. Last season, Brice Turang had an average launch angle of 3.2° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 9.9°. Posting a .281 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Brice Turang finds himself in the 88th percentile.

Nationals Park profiles as the #26 park in the game for LHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Mitchell Parker will hold the platoon advantage against Sal Frelick in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Sal Frelick today. Sal Frelick's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, decreasing from 40.1% on the season to 30.8% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nathaniel Lowe will hold that advantage today.

CJ Abrams's batting average skill is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, CJ Abrams's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.9% up to 13.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums. Daylen Lile will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Daylen Lile's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, going from 53.2% on the season to 64.5% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Daylen Lile has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .240 figure is considerably lower than his .300 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Caleb Durbin is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 99% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Caleb Durbin will have an edge in today's game. Caleb Durbin pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Caleb Durbin has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, checking in at the 94th percentile with a 1.28 K/BB rate.

Nationals Park has the 11th-shallowest left field fences among all parks. Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Andruw Monasterio will have an edge in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.295) may lead us to conclude that Andruw Monasterio has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .260 actual wOBA. Andruw Monasterio is in the 91st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (20% rate since the start of last season). Andruw Monasterio has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a key ability for batting average), grading out in the 89th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

Paul DeJong has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (88% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Paul DeJong will have an advantage today. Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Paul DeJong will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Paul DeJong's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 39.8% to 48.2%.

Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Riley Adams will have the upper hand in today's game. Riley Adams has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Riley Adams will hold that advantage in today's game. Despite posting a .238 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Riley Adams has suffered from bad luck given the .049 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .287. Checking in at the 94th percentile, the hardest ball Riley Adams has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.4 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Josh Bell has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage today. Josh Bell has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last year's 92.8-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Brady House will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's matchup. Brady House has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Brady House will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Sporting a .267 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Brady House is ranked in the 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Jacob Young will have an edge today. Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Jacob Young will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Jacob Young has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 87.8-mph average to last season's 84.9-mph average.

Nationals Park has the 11th-shallowest left field fences among all parks. The switch-hitting Blake Perkins will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Mitchell Parker. Blake Perkins has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well recently, putting up a 23.3° angle on such balls over the last 14 days. Blake Perkins has recorded a .323 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 88th percentile.

Isaac Collins is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The switch-hitting Isaac Collins will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Mitchell Parker. Isaac Collins pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Isaac Collins has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 90.2-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 87.6-mph mark. Isaac Collins's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 45.6% on the season to 69.2% in the past 7 days.

Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Danny Jansen will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Danny Jansen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.1% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Danny Jansen's launch angle this year (24.8°) is a significant increase over his 21.6° angle last season. Over the past two weeks, Danny Jansen has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 27° compared to his seasonal mark of 18°.

Luis Garcia has not yet played a game this season.