Milwaukee @ Washington picks

Jose Quintana's underlying metrics suggest steep regression is looming in the second half of the campaign. He currently ranks in the bottom third of the league in xERA, xBA, walk rate, and barrel rate. Meanwhile, Mitchell Parker is 7-10 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.41 WHIP. His analytics are somehow even worse.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. James Wood has big-time power (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (28.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jose Quintana struggles to strike batters out (16th percentile K%) — great news for Wood.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and James Wood will hold that advantage in today's game.

Paul DeJong has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (88% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Paul DeJong will have an advantage today.. Paul DeJong has big-time HR ability (81st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (30.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jose Quintana doesn't generate many whiffs (9th percentile K%) — great news for DeJong.. Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Paul DeJong will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Josh Bell is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Josh Bell has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage today.. Josh Bell has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last year's 92.8-mph average.

Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Danny Jansen will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Danny Jansen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.1% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Danny Jansen's launch angle this year (24.8°) is a significant increase over his 21.6° angle last season.. Over the past two weeks, Danny Jansen has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 27° compared to his seasonal mark of 18°.

CJ Abrams's batting average skill is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage in today's game.. In the last week's worth of games, CJ Abrams's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.9% up to 13.3%.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Christian Yelich is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Yelich is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Christian Yelich has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. In the past week, Christian Yelich's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.3-mph over the course of the season to 104.1-mph lately.. Grading out in the 83rd percentile for power, Christian Yelich has hit 28 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. William Contreras is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. William Contreras will hold the platoon advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's game.. William Contreras has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. William Contreras has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 4.9% seasonal rate to 13% over the past week.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. James Wood has big-time power (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (28.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jose Quintana struggles to strike batters out (16th percentile K%) — great news for Wood.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and James Wood will hold that advantage in today's game.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. James Wood has big-time power (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (28.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jose Quintana struggles to strike batters out (16th percentile K%) — great news for Wood.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and James Wood will hold that advantage in today's game.

It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Edwin Moscoso) behind the plate in today's game.. Nationals Park has the 11th-shallowest left field fences among all parks.. Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jose Quintana today.. Jose Quintana's 89.8-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 6th percentile among all SPs.. Out of all SPs, Jose Quintana's fastball spin rate of 2085 rpm ranks in the 10th percentile this year.