Minnesota @ Cleveland picks

With both Joe Ryan and Gavin Williams limiting these opposing lineups to an OPS below .560, runs will be at a premium in this AL Central showdown.

The Cleveland Guardians (20.4 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 4th-least strikeout-prone batting order of all teams on the slate.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Because of his large platoon split, Joe Ryan will have a disadvantage squaring off against 8 hitters in the projected offense who hit from the other side in this outing.. Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Joe Ryan in today's game.. Joe Ryan's 92.9-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a substantial 1.1-mph fall off from last year's 94-mph figure.

Matt Wallner projects as the 8th-best home run hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #3 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Matt Wallner will have an advantage in today's game.. Matt Wallner pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. The #3 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Considering Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Kyle Manzardo will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.. Kyle Manzardo has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Progressive Field grades out as the #3 stadium in baseball for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league parks, Progressive Field's left field fences are the 4th-shallowest.. Ryan Jeffers has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 13.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly deflated relative to his 18.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Royce Lewis is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. The #8 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Royce Lewis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

Kody Clemens has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (71% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #3 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Kody Clemens will have an advantage today.. In the past week, Kody Clemens's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.8% up to 25%.

Progressive Field profiles as the #7 ballpark in MLB for BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league parks, Progressive Field's left field fences are the 4th-shallowest.. Gavin Williams's change-up usage has fallen by 5.3% from last year to this one (5.4% to 0.1%) .. Gavin Williams has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his ERA this year; his 3.51 figure is significantly deflated relative to his 4.68 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).. Gavin Williams has been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors on balls in play this year with a .265 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.

Matt Wallner projects as the 8th-best home run hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #8 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Matt Wallner will have an advantage in today's game.. Matt Wallner pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

The #3 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Carlos Santana pulls many of his flyballs (40.4% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Carlos Santana will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Over the past 7 days, Carlos Santana's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.2%.

Kody Clemens has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (71% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #8 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Kody Clemens will have an advantage today.. In the past week, Kody Clemens's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.8% up to 25%.