Toronto @ Baltimore picks

The Blue Jays have an outsized pitching advantage with Chris Bassitt (2.39 ERA in July) facing Zach Eflin, who got off to a poor start this year (5.78 ERA) before hitting the IL. The Jays are fifth in bullpen xFIP in July while the Orioles are 23rd.

Guerrero Jr. will face Orioles right-hander Zach Eflin tonight, who is making just his second start since returning from the IL. He’s had a lot of success against him before, going deep two times. Ten of Guerrero’s homers are off right-handed pitchers.

Addison Barger enters play in fine form at the dish. He’s recorded multiple bases in six of his last nine games, averaging just over two per night in that span.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 18th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats to LHB.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Bassitt in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Bassitt has a large platoon split.

When assessing his batting average ability, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. The #7 park in the league for boosting offensive stats to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jordan Westburg ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #7 park in the league for boosting offensive stats to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jordan Westburg will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats to LHB.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Colton Cowser will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Bassitt today... and moreover, Bassitt has a large platoon split.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Jackson Holliday is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats to LHB.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jackson Holliday will have the handedness advantage against Chris Bassitt today... and even more favorably, Bassitt has a large platoon split.

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats to LHB.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Bassitt has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. The #7 park in the league for boosting offensive stats to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ramon Laureano will hold that advantage in today's game.. Ramon Laureano has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 12.3% seasonal rate to 35% over the last 7 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #7 park in the league for boosting offensive stats to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. George Springer hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats to LHB.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Cedric Mullins will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Bassitt in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Bassitt has a large platoon split.. Cedric Mullins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.6% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Cedric Mullins will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Tyler O'Neill projects as the 12th-best home run hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #7 park in the league for boosting offensive stats to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Tyler O'Neill will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Tyler O'Neill has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 16.5% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the last 7 days.