Los Angeles @ Cincinnati picks
Great American Ball Park
LAD vs CIN Picks
MLB Picks
Hits, Runs, and RBIs


Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Freeman will face off against the extremely talented but volatile Chase Burns, who is still finding his way at the major league level. Burns has struggled mightily against left-handed hitters, giving up a .298 average, .255 ISO, and 2.5 homers per nine innings.
Total RBIs

Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Teoscar Hernandez has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today.
Total RBIs

Mookie Betts o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Mookie Betts ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Mookie Betts is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Mookie Betts pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today.
Total RBIs

Andy Pages o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Andy Pages ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Andy Pages is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. The 6th-shallowest LF fences among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today.
Total RBIs

Matt McLain o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Matt McLain is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Matt McLain has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Total RBIs

Austin Hays o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Austin Hays is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Austin Hays pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Austin Hays will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs

Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total RBIs (+100)
Projection 0.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest right field fences in the majors.. Hitting from the opposite that Chase Burns throws from, Shohei Ohtani will have an edge in today's game.
Total RBIs

Michael Conforto o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Hitting from the opposite that Chase Burns throws from, Michael Conforto will have an edge today.. Michael Conforto has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today.. In the last week's worth of games, Michael Conforto's 81.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.5%.
Total Bases

Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Teoscar Hernandez has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today.
Outs Recorded

Yoshinobu Yamamoto u17.5 Outs Recorded (+130)
Projection 16.9 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for home runs.. The 6th-shallowest LF fences among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today.. Among all the teams playing today, the 6th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.. Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Yoshinobu Yamamoto today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-125)
Projection 2.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Teoscar Hernandez has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today.