Cleveland @ Kansas City picks
Kauffman Stadium
CLE vs KC Picks
MLB Picks
Total Bases


Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Vinnie Pasquantino is much better against righties than lefties in terms of average (.285 vs .215). He generates a lot more power to boot, with 14 of his 17 homers coming vs. right-handed pitching. Pasquantino has also feasted on Tanner Bibee in their head-to-head matchups. Pasquantino is 7-for-11 with four extra-base hits, including a pair of home runs and a triple.
Strikeouts Thrown

Kris Bubic o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-120)
Projection 6.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kris Bubic in the 86th percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.. The Cleveland Guardians have 4 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Austin Hedges, Nolan Jones, Johnathan Rodriguez, Gabriel Arias).. Kris Bubic will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats across the board.. Out of all starting pitchers, Kris Bubic's fastball spin rate of 2420 rpm is in the 80th percentile this year.. Grading out in the 94th percentile, Kris Bubic put up a 13.8% Swinging Strike percentage this year.
Total RBIs

Jose Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Jose Ramirez has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 8.4% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past 7 days.. As it relates to plate discipline, Jose Ramirez's talent is quite good, posting a 1.07 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 96th percentile.. Posting a .299 batting average this year, Jose Ramirez finds himself in the 96th percentile.
Total RBIs

Angel Martinez o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Angel Martinez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Angel Martinez will get to bat from his better side against Kris Bubic today.. Angel Martinez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph to 92-mph over the last 7 days.. Angel Martinez's launch angle this season (19.1°) is a significant increase over his 14.8° angle last season.. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Angel Martinez's 61% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.3%.
Total RBIs

Maikel Garcia o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Maikel Garcia will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.. Maikel Garcia's launch angle this season (10°) is a significant increase over his 6.2° figure last season.. Maikel Garcia has recorded a .287 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Austin Hedges o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-125)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Austin Hedges will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kris Bubic today.. Austin Hedges has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last year's 88.4-mph EV.. Austin Hedges's 24.5° launch angle (a reliable stat to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in the game: 97th percentile.
Total Bases

Carlos Santana o0.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Carlos Santana is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Carlos Santana will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Kris Bubic in today's matchup.. Carlos Santana's launch angle in recent games (25.5° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 17.4° seasonal figure.. Posting a 1.61 K/BB rate this year, Carlos Santana has shown favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 84th percentile.
Total Bases

Jonathan India o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Jonathan India will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.. Jonathan India's launch angle lately (21.8° over the last 7 days) is a considerable increase over his 16.9° seasonal angle.. As it relates to his home runs, Jonathan India has experienced some negative variance this year. His 5.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 13.6.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jose Ramirez o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Jose Ramirez has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 8.4% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past 7 days.. As it relates to plate discipline, Jose Ramirez's talent is quite good, posting a 1.07 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 96th percentile.. Posting a .299 batting average this year, Jose Ramirez finds himself in the 96th percentile.
Total Bases

Vinnie Pasquantino o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an edge in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Vinnie Pasquantino will hold that advantage in today's game.. Vinnie Pasquantino has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.5-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 92.9-mph.. Vinnie Pasquantino has paced 24.8 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 78th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Kyle Isbel o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-185)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating