Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Boston

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Hitting from the same side that Emmet Sheehan throws from, Alex Bregman will be at a disadvantage today. Typically, bats like Alex Bregman who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Emmet Sheehan. Among every team playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.322) provides evidence that Alex Bregman has been very fortunate this year with his .384 actual wOBA.