Los Angeles @ Boston picks

The Dodgers are 4-11 in their last 15 games while Boston is 9-1 in its last 10 games at home. L.A. will start Emmet Sheehan who can get hit hard and is only a year removed from Tommy John surgery. That means plenty of innings for a Dodgers bullpen that has struggled, posting a 4.91 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP since the start of June. Sluggers like Freddie Freeman, Teoscar Hernandez, and Mookie Betts have also been mired in slumps and will face Brayan Bello who has a 2.74 ERA with a 1.03 WHIP in his last 10 starts. The Red Sox are third in the majors in OPS at home (.799) and are well-equipped to pull of the small upset here. 

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. The 3rd-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums are found in Fenway Park.. This game is forecasted to have the 9th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Tommy Edman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 14.2% on the season to 25% in the last week's worth of games.. Tommy Edman's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 36.9% to 48.3%.

When estimating his batting average ability, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Freddie Freeman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the most humidity of all games on the slate at 83%.. Freddie Freeman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Bello has a large platoon split.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Andy Pages ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Andy Pages is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the most humidity of all games on the slate at 83%.

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 2nd-best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. The 3rd-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums are found in Fenway Park.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the most humidity of all games on the slate at 82%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Roman Anthony is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the most humidity of all games on the slate at 83%.. Batting from the opposite that Emmet Sheehan throws from, Roman Anthony will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Teoscar Hernandez's BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the most humidity of all games on the slate at 83%.. Teoscar Hernandez has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the most humidity of all games on the slate at 82%.. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Emmet Sheehan in today's matchup.. Wilyer Abreu pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Wilyer Abreu has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (76% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.. This year, Wilyer Abreu has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 10% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. Fenway Park has the 2nd-highest fences among all stadiums.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. Typically, hitters like Wilyer Abreu who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Emmet Sheehan.

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 2nd-best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. The 3rd-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums are found in Fenway Park.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the most humidity of all games on the slate at 82%.

It may be best to expect better results for the Los Angeles Dodgers offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 10th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.. It is scheduled that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (James Jean) calling pitches today.. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the most humidity of all games on the slate at 83%.