Los Angeles @ New York picks
Citi Field
LAA vs NYM Picks
MLB Picks
Total Home Runs


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Total Bases


Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Kyle Hendricks has won only five of 18 starts to date and his ERA is hovering around 5.00. He has allowed 2.2 homers per nine innings against righties and an alarmingly high ISO of .241. That should be music to the ears of Pete Alonso, who is hitting .300 with a .253 ISO against right-handed arms.
Total RBIs

Jorge Soler o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Jorge Soler projects as the 20th-best home run hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Jorge Soler hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Despite posting a .296 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jorge Soler has had some very poor luck given the .041 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .337.. This year, Jorge Soler's 12.6% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 78th percentile among his peers.
Total RBIs

Logan O'Hoppe o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run skill, Logan O'Hoppe ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Logan O'Hoppe pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. This season, Logan O'Hoppe has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97.7 mph compared to last year's 94.6 mph mark.. Over the last two weeks, Logan O'Hoppe has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 31.2° compared to his seasonal mark of 21°.
Total RBIs

Brett Baty o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Brett Baty will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Brett Baty has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme flyball bats like Brett Baty tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kyle Hendricks.. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.
Total RBIs

Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Mike Trout projects as the 7th-best home run batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. Among all stadiums, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Extreme groundball hitters like Mike Trout are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Frankie Montas.
Total RBIs

Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in the game.. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. Among all stadiums, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Hendricks in today's game.
Total RBIs

Taylor Ward o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Taylor Ward ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. Among all stadiums, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Extreme groundball batters like Taylor Ward are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Frankie Montas.
Total RBIs

Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run talent, Jo Adell ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jo Adell is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Among all stadiums, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Jo Adell has made big gains with his Barrel%, improving his 11.8% rate last season to 17.1% this year.
Total RBIs

Francisco Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 86th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Among all stadiums, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.. Francisco Alvarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Zach Neto o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Zach Neto ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Zach Neto is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Zach Neto pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Zach Neto has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 8.5% rate last year to 15.2% this season.
Total RBIs

Yoan Moncada o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Yoan Moncada ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Among all stadiums, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Yoan Moncada will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Frankie Montas today.. Yoan Moncada's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (23.1° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 17° seasonal mark.