New York @ Toronto Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 6th-worst park in the game for RHB base hits. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for mound aces. Ernie Clement's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 88.3-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 85.3-mph in the last 14 days. Ernie Clement's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 18.8% to 13.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 6th-worst park in the game for RHB base hits. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for mound aces. Over the past 7 days, Bo Bichette's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.4% down to 0%. Over the last 7 days, Bo Bichette's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joey Loperfido can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Joey Loperfido will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Trent Grisham is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Trent Grisham will have an advantage in today's game. Trent Grisham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Trent Grisham's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 34.5% to 40.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in the majors as it relates to his batting average talent. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Jasson Dominguez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Jasson Dominguez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Kevin Gausman in this game. Jasson Dominguez has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.5-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91-mph figure.

The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre. Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Austin Wells will have an advantage today. Austin Wells has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last season's 88.4-mph EV. Austin Wells's launch angle this season (20.8°) is quite a bit higher than his 16.9° mark last year. Over the last two weeks, Austin Wells has posted a 21.8° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge in today's game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Barrel% of Jazz Chisholm Jr. has significantly improved, with an increase from 10% last year to 20.5% this season.

Oswald Peraza hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Oswald Peraza has been unlucky this year. His .204 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .265. This year, the hardest ball Oswald Peraza has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 111.8 mph (an advanced metric to assess power), grading out in the 78th percentile.

Anthony Volpe hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Anthony Volpe's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.2% up to 80%. Anthony Volpe has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 101.4-mph over the last 7 days. Anthony Volpe's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 15.6% on the season to 60% over the last week.

Cody Bellinger's batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre. Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge in today's game. Cody Bellinger has put up a .352 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 80th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre. Over the last 14 days, Giancarlo Stanton has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 11.5% to 30%. Giancarlo Stanton has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 104.1-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 92.6-mph figure.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in baseball. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Aaron Judge hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Posting a .484 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Aaron Judge finds himself in the 100th percentile. Aaron Judge has put up a .358 batting average this year, checking in at the 100th percentile.

Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Jorbit Vivas will have an edge today. Jorbit Vivas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have an advantage in today's matchup. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre. Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Myles Straw will have an edge today. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Myles Straw will hold that advantage in today's game. Myles Straw has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .270 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .306 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. George Springer is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, George Springer will have an edge in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.4°, Paul Goldschmidt has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 20.9° figure over the past two weeks. With a .292 batting average this year, Paul Goldschmidt grades out in the 94th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Jimenez in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre. Leo Jimenez will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Rodon today. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Leo Jimenez will hold that advantage today.

The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre. Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Davis Schneider will have an edge in today's matchup. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. New York's 3rd-worst outfield defense on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Davis Schneider, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Davis Schneider will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Addison Barger has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Will Wagner has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Nathan Lukes has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.