Los Angeles @ Philadelphia picks
Citizens Bank Park
LAA vs PHI Picks
MLB Picks
Total Home Runs


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Game Prop

Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst
The Phillies are second in the majors in run first inning rate at home (39.1%) while boasting an OPS of .784. They've been productive against lefties and will face Angels southpaw Yusei Kikuchi today. Kikuchi is in the bottom 25th percentile in barrel rate and the bottom 10th percentile in average exit velocity, leading to an xERA of 4.31. Meanwhile, the Angels are red-hot at the dish, ranking fourth in the majors in OPS (.799) while averaging 5.26 runs per game over the last 30 days. They'll face Taijuan Walker who is the weak link in Philadelphia's rotation and has pitched to a 4.57 FIP since the middle of April.
Total RBIs

Jorge Soler o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate (81%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Jorge Soler pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs

Logan O'Hoppe o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O'Hoppe in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate (81%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Logan O'Hoppe has big-time HR ability (95th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (28.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Taijuan Walker is a pitch-to-contact type (15th percentile K%) — great news for O'Hoppe.. Logan O'Hoppe pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.
Total RBIs

Taylor Ward o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Taylor Ward is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. This game is projected to have the most humidity on the slate (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.
Total RBIs

J.T. Realmuto o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate (78%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Batting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, J.T. Realmuto will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total RBIs

Zach Neto o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Zach Neto is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. This game is projected to have the most humidity on the slate (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Zach Neto pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.
Total RBIs

Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+115)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Mike Trout as the majors's 7th-best home run hitter.. Mike Trout is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. This game is projected to have the most humidity on the slate (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.
Total RBIs

Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 14th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate (78%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Bryce Harper has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Bryce Harper will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run skill, Jo Adell ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jo Adell is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. This game is projected to have the most humidity on the slate (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.
Total RBIs

Nick Castellanos o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Nick Castellanos is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate (78%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Batting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Nick Castellanos will have an advantage today.
Total RBIs

Otto Kemp o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. This game is projected to have the most humidity on the slate (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Hitting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Otto Kemp will have an edge today.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Angels.