Minnesota @ Colorado props

Typically, bats like Byron Buxton who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Kyle Freeland. Byron Buxton will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.347) provides evidence that Byron Buxton has had some very good luck this year with his .388 actual wOBA.

Ryan Jeffers has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 12% of the time when starting against a left-handed pitcher this year. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ryan Jeffers in today's game. Ryan Jeffers's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 92.4-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 90-mph in the past two weeks. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Ryan Jeffers's 5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.8%.

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best field in the game for LHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Ryan McMahon will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Paddack in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Ritter in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ryan Ritter will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Chris Paddack throws from, Hunter Goodman will have a disadvantage in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.289) may lead us to conclude that Hunter Goodman has been lucky this year with his .359 actual wOBA. Hunter Goodman has displayed poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 9th percentile with a 4.97 K/BB rate.

Harrison Bader is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game. Harrison Bader will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Harrison Bader's true offensive talent to be a .303, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .031 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .334 wOBA.

This year, Mickey Moniak has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 29% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound. Extreme flyball batters like Mickey Moniak are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Chris Paddack. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mickey Moniak's true offensive skill to be a .314, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .034 deviation between that figure and his actual .348 wOBA. Sporting a 4.29 K/BB rate this year, Mickey Moniak has displayed bad plate discipline, placing in the 17th percentile.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Willi Castro will bat from his bad side against Kyle Freeland today. Willi Castro will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Willi Castro's average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 88.1-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 71.2-mph in the past 7 days. Willi Castro's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 90.6-mph EV last season has fallen off to 88.3-mph. Willi Castro's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off lately, decreasing from 44.8% on the season to 26.1% over the last 14 days.

Brenton Doyle's BABIP talent is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Brenton Doyle will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best field in the game for LHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage today. Michael Toglia's launch angle recently (31° over the last 7 days) is a considerable increase over his 16.9° seasonal figure.

Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Austin Nola will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Royce Lewis is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today. Royce Lewis will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Royce Lewis has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.3% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last 7 days. Royce Lewis's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 93.1-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 86-mph in the past week's worth of games. Royce Lewis's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 21.2% to 17.7%.

Carlos Correa will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Compared to his seasonal mark of 8.6°, Carlos Correa's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls has dropped significantly in recent games (3.5° in the past 14 days). When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Carlos Correa and his 11.3% rank in the 9th percentile this year. As it relates to plate discipline, Carlos Correa's ability is quite poor, posting a 3.5 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 25th percentile.

Chris Paddack will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Beck in today's matchup. Over the past two weeks, Jordan Beck's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 92.9 mph to 90.1 mph. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jordan Beck's true offensive talent to be a .300, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .029 deviation between that mark and his actual .329 wOBA. Posting a 4.65 K/BB rate this year, Jordan Beck has shown weak plate discipline, placing in the 12th percentile.

Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Christian Vazquez will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Freeland today. Christian Vazquez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .224 figure is a good deal lower than his .267 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ty France in today's matchup. Ty France's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 93.3-mph figure last season has lowered to 91-mph. In terms of plate discipline, Ty France's ability is quite poor, putting up a 3.83 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 22nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best field in the game for LHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Yanquiel Fernandez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Paddack in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Yanquiel Fernandez will hold that advantage today.

Chris Paddack will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ezequiel Tovar in today's game.

Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Brooks Lee has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 88.7-mph average to last season's 85.8-mph average.

Chris Paddack will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Freeman in today's matchup. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Tyler Freeman's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (0.2°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 4.7°. Tyler Freeman has been lucky this year, putting up a .365 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .039 gap.

Thairo Estrada has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.