KC -105 o8.0
CLE -103 u8.0
WAS +115 o8.0
MIA -125 u8.0
NYM -122 o8.5
PHI +112 u8.5
CHC -110 o8.5
ATL +102 u8.5
MIL -112 o8.5
TEX +104 u8.5
MIN +109 o9.5
LAA -118 u9.5
STL +199 o7.5
SEA -220 u7.5
CIN +124 o7.5
SD -135 u7.5
AZ +161 o7.5
SF -176 u7.5
BOS -162 o9.0
ATH +148 u9.0
COL +284 o9.0
LAD -334 u9.0

Tampa Bay @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jake Mangum Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Jake Mangum
J. Mangum
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to less offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the 5th-best pitching conditions on the schedule today. Typically, bats like Jake Mangum who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Garrett Crochet. Jake Mangum will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Jake Mangum

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to less offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the 5th-best pitching conditions on the schedule today. Typically, bats like Jake Mangum who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Garrett Crochet. Jake Mangum will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Yandy Diaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Yandy Diaz
Y. Diaz
first base 1B • Tampa Bay
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to less offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the 5th-best pitching conditions on the schedule today. Typically, batters like Yandy Diaz who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Garrett Crochet. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Yandy Diaz today.

Yandy Diaz

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to less offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the 5th-best pitching conditions on the schedule today. Typically, batters like Yandy Diaz who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Garrett Crochet. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Yandy Diaz today.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

Jarren Duran
J. Duran
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to less offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the 5th-best pitching conditions on the schedule today. Out of every team today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to less offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the 5th-best pitching conditions on the schedule today. Out of every team today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

Christopher Morel Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Christopher Morel
C. Morel
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Christopher Morel ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Christopher Morel will have the upper hand in today's game. Christopher Morel pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Christopher Morel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Christopher Morel ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Christopher Morel will have the upper hand in today's game. Christopher Morel pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Danny Jansen Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Danny Jansen
D. Jansen
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Danny Jansen will have an advantage in today's game. Danny Jansen pulls many of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like Danny Jansen generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Garrett Crochet.

Danny Jansen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Danny Jansen will have an advantage in today's game. Danny Jansen pulls many of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like Danny Jansen generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Garrett Crochet.

Taylor Walls Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Taylor Walls
T. Walls
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Garrett Crochet. Taylor Walls has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Taylor Walls

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Garrett Crochet. Taylor Walls has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Jose Caballero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Jose Caballero
J. Caballero
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Jose Caballero will have the upper hand today. Jose Caballero pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Ranking in the 82nd percentile, Jose Caballero has put up a .331 BABIP this year.

Jose Caballero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Jose Caballero will have the upper hand today. Jose Caballero pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Ranking in the 82nd percentile, Jose Caballero has put up a .331 BABIP this year.

Roman Anthony Total Hits Props • Boston

Roman Anthony
R. Anthony
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Roman Anthony is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Roman Anthony will have the handedness advantage over Shane Baz in today's matchup. Roman Anthony has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences today.

Roman Anthony

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Roman Anthony is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Roman Anthony will have the handedness advantage over Shane Baz in today's matchup. Roman Anthony has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences today.

Abraham Toro Total Hits Props • Boston

Abraham Toro
A. Toro
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. Abraham Toro will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Abraham Toro has recorded a .270 batting average this year, ranking in the 80th percentile.

Abraham Toro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. Abraham Toro will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Abraham Toro has recorded a .270 batting average this year, ranking in the 80th percentile.

Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Boston

Alex Bregman
A. Bregman
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Alex Bregman tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Shane Baz.

Alex Bregman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Alex Bregman tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Shane Baz.

Junior Caminero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Junior Caminero
J. Caminero
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Junior Caminero is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Junior Caminero will have the handedness advantage over Garrett Crochet today. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today.

Junior Caminero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Junior Caminero is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Junior Caminero will have the handedness advantage over Garrett Crochet today. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

Masataka Yoshida
M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. Masataka Yoshida will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Baz in today's matchup.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. Masataka Yoshida will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Baz in today's matchup.

Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston

Trevor Story
T. Story
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Trevor Story hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Trevor Story will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Trevor Story

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Trevor Story hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Trevor Story will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Ha-Seong Kim Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Ha-Seong Kim
H. Kim
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Ha-seong Kim is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Ha-seong Kim will have an edge in today's matchup. Ha-seong Kim hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Ha-Seong Kim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ha-seong Kim is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Ha-seong Kim will have an edge in today's matchup. Ha-seong Kim hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

Ceddanne Rafaela
C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Ceddanne Rafaela is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Ceddanne Rafaela will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Ceddanne Rafaela is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Ceddanne Rafaela will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

Wilyer Abreu
W. Abreu
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an edge in today's game. Wilyer Abreu pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Wilyer Abreu are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Shane Baz.

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an edge in today's game. Wilyer Abreu pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Wilyer Abreu are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Shane Baz.

Marcelo Mayer Total Hits Props • Boston

Marcelo Mayer
M. Mayer
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Marcelo Mayer will have the upper hand today. Marcelo Mayer has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Marcelo Mayer will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Marcelo Mayer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Marcelo Mayer will have the upper hand today. Marcelo Mayer has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Marcelo Mayer will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Carlos Narvaez Total Hits Props • Boston

Carlos Narvaez
C. Narvaez
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Carlos Narvaez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. Carlos Narvaez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Grading out in the 89th percentile, Carlos Narvaez has put up a .345 BABIP this year.

Carlos Narvaez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Carlos Narvaez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. Carlos Narvaez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Grading out in the 89th percentile, Carlos Narvaez has put up a .345 BABIP this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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// Scripts for MLB A/B test