Colorado @ Boston props

Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today's game. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which often leads to less offense. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Ceddanne Rafaela has been lucky this year, notching a .327 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .019 discrepancy. When it comes to plate discipline, Ceddanne Rafaela's ability is quite weak, posting a 4.09 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 19th percentile.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which often leads to less offense. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Trevor Story has compiled a .293 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 22nd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Trevor Story and his 7.1° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 13th percentile, among the lowest in Major League Baseball this year. In terms of plate discipline, Trevor Story's skill is quite bad, putting up a 6.23 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 4th percentile.

Roman Anthony's BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Roman Anthony is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.

Ryan Ritter's BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park grades out as the #4 stadium in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in the league. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.

Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Ryan McMahon will have the handedness advantage over Richard Fitts in today's game. Ryan McMahon has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

This year, Romy Gonzalez has been pinch hit for in 18% of his appearances when starting against lefty on the mound. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which often leads to less offense. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Romy Gonzalez has been lucky this year, putting up a .373 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .054 gap. With a 4.8 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Romy Gonzalez has demonstrated bad plate discipline, checking in at the 9th percentile.

Brenton Doyle's BABIP ability is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park grades out as the #4 stadium in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Brenton Doyle hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Michael Toglia is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Michael Toglia pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Wilyer Abreu can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Tyler Freeman is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Fenway Park grades out as the #4 stadium in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.

Thairo Estrada is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Fenway Park grades out as the #4 stadium in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Thairo Estrada pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #4 stadium in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Hunter Goodman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Yanquiel Fernandez will have the handedness advantage over Richard Fitts in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Jordan Beck is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Fenway Park grades out as the #4 stadium in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Jordan Beck pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Fenway Park grades out as the #4 stadium in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in the league. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Abraham Toro will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Austin Gomber in today's game.

Rob Refsnyder's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park grades out as the #4 stadium in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in the league. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Mickey Moniak has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (85% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Richard Fitts throws from, Mickey Moniak will have the upper hand in today's game.

Nate Eaton has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (67% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Fenway Park grades out as the #4 stadium in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Nate Eaton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Gomber today.

Fenway Park grades out as the #4 stadium in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in the league. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Carlos Narvaez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Gomber in today's matchup.

Orlando Arcia has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.