Toronto @ Chicago picks

Now on eight wins in a row, the Blue Jays will keep things moving against a White Sox squad that would be by far the worst team in the league if not for the Rockies. Toronto is sending Jose Berrios to the mound, and he's been relatively steady lately, giving up runs in just three of his last seven starts.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Guaranteed Rate Field grades out as the #4 ballpark in MLB for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Davis Schneider pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Davis Schneider's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (35.3°) is a considerable increase over his 23.4° figure last year.

As it relates to his batting average ability, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Guaranteed Rate Field grades out as the #4 ballpark in MLB for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.2-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 94.6-mph.

Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #4 field in the league for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest in the league.. Brooks Baldwin will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.. In the last week, Brooks Baldwin's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.5% up to 37.5%.. Brooks Baldwin has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 101.2-mph over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Miguel Vargas is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Guaranteed Rate Field grades out as the #4 ballpark in MLB for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Miguel Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.1% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Miguel Vargas will hold that advantage in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Guaranteed Rate Field grades out as the #4 ballpark in MLB for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest in the league.. George Springer has made big strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 9.3% rate last season to 17.8% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #4 field in the league for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest in the league.. Andrew Benintendi will have the handedness advantage against Jose Berrios today.

Alejandro Kirk's batting average talent is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Guaranteed Rate Field grades out as the #4 ballpark in MLB for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Alejandro Kirk has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.. Alejandro Kirk has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph figure.. Compared to last year, Alejandro Kirk has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 42.3% to 49.2% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 12th-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his batting average ability.. Bo Bichette is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Guaranteed Rate Field grades out as the #4 ballpark in MLB for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Bo Bichette has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Bo Bichette has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .318 figure is a good deal lower than his .343 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his home run talent, Addison Barger ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Addison Barger is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #4 field in the league for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Addison Barger will have an edge today.. Addison Barger pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The Chicago White Sox have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season. The #3 park in the game for boosting home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. The 5th-shallowest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Guaranteed Rate Field.. With 6 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team's projected offense, Jose Berrios will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's game.. Jose Berrios is an extreme flyball pitcher (32.6% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #3 HR venue among all major league parks today.