Final Jul 5
TB 5 +106 o10.0
MIN 6 -115 u10.0
Final Jul 5
STL 8 +140 o11.0
CHC 6 -152 u11.0
Final (11) Jul 5
LAA 3 +175 o9.0
TOR 4 -192 u9.0
Final Jul 5
BOS 10 -112 o9.5
WAS 3 +103 u9.5
Final Jul 5
CIN 1 +160 o9.0
PHI 5 -175 u9.0
Final (10) Jul 5
BAL 9 +139 o8.5
ATL 6 -151 u8.5
Final Jul 5
MIL 2 -130 o8.5
MIA 4 +120 u8.5
Final Jul 5
KC 1 +119 o9.0
AZ 7 -129 u9.0
Final Jul 5
NYY 6 -140 o9.5
NYM 12 +129 u9.5
Final Jul 5
DET 1 -129 o9.0
CLE 0 +119 u9.0
Final Jul 5
HOU 6 +143 o9.0
LAD 4 -155 u9.0
Final Jul 5
CHW 10 +126 o11.0
COL 3 -136 u11.0
Final Jul 5
TEX 7 +113 o8.0
SD 4 -123 u8.0
Final Jul 5
SF 7 -176 o9.5
ATH 2 +161 u9.5
Final Jul 5
PIT 0 +147 o7.0
SEA 1 -161 u7.0

Chicago @ Colorado props

Coors Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Mickey Moniak Total Hits Props • Colorado

Mickey Moniak
M. Moniak
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Mickey Moniak has been pulled from the game early 29% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-best out of every team playing today. Mickey Moniak has been lucky this year, posting a .337 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .312 — a .025 deviation. Mickey Moniak has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, checking in at the 17th percentile with a 4.25 K/BB rate. Ranking in the 17th percentile, Mickey Moniak sports a .261 BABIP this year.

Mickey Moniak

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Mickey Moniak has been pulled from the game early 29% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-best out of every team playing today. Mickey Moniak has been lucky this year, posting a .337 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .312 — a .025 deviation. Mickey Moniak has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, checking in at the 17th percentile with a 4.25 K/BB rate. Ranking in the 17th percentile, Mickey Moniak sports a .261 BABIP this year.

Thairo Estrada Total Hits Props • Colorado

Thairo Estrada
T. Estrada
second base 2B • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Thairo Estrada ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Hitting from the same side that Shane Smith throws from, Thairo Estrada will have a tough matchup in today's game. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-best out of every team playing today. There has been a significant decline in Thairo Estrada's launch angle from last season's 10.5° to 7.4° this year. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Thairo Estrada has been lucky this year. His .321 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .277.

Thairo Estrada

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Thairo Estrada ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Hitting from the same side that Shane Smith throws from, Thairo Estrada will have a tough matchup in today's game. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-best out of every team playing today. There has been a significant decline in Thairo Estrada's launch angle from last season's 10.5° to 7.4° this year. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Thairo Estrada has been lucky this year. His .321 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .277.

Tyler Freeman Total Hits Props • Colorado

Tyler Freeman
T. Freeman
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Shane Smith will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Freeman in today's game. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-best out of every team playing today. Over the past 14 days, Tyler Freeman's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 88.6 mph to 83.7 mph. Compared to his seasonal figure of 9°, Tyler Freeman has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0°) in the last 14 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tyler Freeman's true offensive talent to be a .328, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .043 gap between that mark and his actual .371 wOBA.

Tyler Freeman

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Shane Smith will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Freeman in today's game. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-best out of every team playing today. Over the past 14 days, Tyler Freeman's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 88.6 mph to 83.7 mph. Compared to his seasonal figure of 9°, Tyler Freeman has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0°) in the last 14 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tyler Freeman's true offensive talent to be a .328, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .043 gap between that mark and his actual .371 wOBA.

Jordan Beck Total Hits Props • Colorado

Jordan Beck
J. Beck
left outfield LF • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Shane Smith will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Beck in today's matchup. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-best out of every team playing today. Over the past week, Jordan Beck's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.1% down to 0%. Jordan Beck has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 83-mph in the past week. Over the past two weeks, Jordan Beck's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (3°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 15.7°.

Jordan Beck

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Shane Smith will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Beck in today's matchup. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-best out of every team playing today. Over the past week, Jordan Beck's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.1% down to 0%. Jordan Beck has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 83-mph in the past week. Over the past two weeks, Jordan Beck's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (3°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 15.7°.

Kyle Teel Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Kyle Teel
K. Teel
catcher C • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Teel in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Kyle Teel is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The #1 field in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. The weather report expects the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Kyle Teel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Teel in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Kyle Teel is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The #1 field in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. The weather report expects the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Mike Tauchman Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Mike Tauchman
M. Tauchman
right outfield RF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Mike Tauchman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Mike Tauchman has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 7.7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last 7 days. Mike Tauchman's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 91.4-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 86.2-mph over the past week. Over the last 7 days, Mike Tauchman's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.2%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mike Tauchman's true offensive skill to be a .312, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .039 disparity between that figure and his actual .351 wOBA.

Mike Tauchman

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Mike Tauchman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Mike Tauchman has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 7.7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last 7 days. Mike Tauchman's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 91.4-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 86.2-mph over the past week. Over the last 7 days, Mike Tauchman's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.2%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mike Tauchman's true offensive skill to be a .312, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .039 disparity between that figure and his actual .351 wOBA.

Ryan McMahon Total Hits Props • Colorado

Ryan McMahon
R. McMahon
third base 3B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The #1 field in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. The weather report expects the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Smith throws from, Ryan McMahon will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ryan McMahon will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ryan McMahon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The #1 field in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. The weather report expects the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Smith throws from, Ryan McMahon will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ryan McMahon will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Lenyn Sosa Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Lenyn Sosa
L. Sosa
second base 2B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Hitting from the same side that Chase Dollander throws from, Lenyn Sosa will be at a disadvantage today. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Lenyn Sosa today. Using Statcast data, Lenyn Sosa is in the 16th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .286. Lenyn Sosa has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, checking in at the 1st percentile with a 9.13 K/BB rate.

Lenyn Sosa

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Hitting from the same side that Chase Dollander throws from, Lenyn Sosa will be at a disadvantage today. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Lenyn Sosa today. Using Statcast data, Lenyn Sosa is in the 16th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .286. Lenyn Sosa has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, checking in at the 1st percentile with a 9.13 K/BB rate.

Michael Toglia Total Hits Props • Colorado

Michael Toglia
M. Toglia
first base 1B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The #1 field in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. The weather report expects the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage in today's game. Michael Toglia's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 43.1% to 50%.

Michael Toglia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #1 field in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. The weather report expects the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage in today's game. Michael Toglia's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 43.1% to 50%.

Yanquiel Fernandez Total Hits Props • Colorado

Yanquiel Fernandez
Y. Fernandez
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The #1 field in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. The weather report expects the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Yanquiel Fernandez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Smith today. Yanquiel Fernandez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Yanquiel Fernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #1 field in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. The weather report expects the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Yanquiel Fernandez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Smith today. Yanquiel Fernandez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Ryan Noda Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Ryan Noda
R. Noda
first base 1B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The #1 field in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. The weather report expects the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Ryan Noda will have the handedness advantage over Chase Dollander today. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan Noda stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Ryan Noda

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #1 field in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. The weather report expects the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Ryan Noda will have the handedness advantage over Chase Dollander today. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan Noda stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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