Texas @ San Diego picks

The Rangers are just 28th in the majors in OPS (.660) and tonight they'll be on the road at pitcher-friendly PETCO Park. Texas is starting Patrick Corbin who is mediocre but tends to get off to good starts. The southpaw has a 1.20 ERA with an OBA of .140 in the first inning. Meanwhile, the Padres have an OPS of just .652 against lefties and they've gone ice-cold at the dish. They are batting .214 while plating 3.17 runs per game over the last 15 days. 

Seager is tearing the cover off the ball, and there’s plenty of reason to believe that will continue against the San Diego Padres. For one, Seager is hitting .333 with a .417 ISO against cutters, sliders, and four-seam fastballs over the last month. Those are the pitches Kolek predominantly throws, setting up Seager to have success. Kolek is also getting ripped apart by left-handed bats like Seager. He has allowed a .290 average and 60.47% hard hit rate vs. lefties over the past month. Those are unbelievably bad numbers and far worse than what he’s managed against righties. Look for Seager, who has barreled up on at least one ball in seven straight games, to do some damage in this one.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. Petco Park ranks as the #5 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 5th-best field in MLB for RHB home runs.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Jack Leiter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 5th-best field in MLB for RHB home runs.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the same side that Jack Leiter throws from, Xander Bogaerts will be in a tough position in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 9th-best batter in the game.. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Petco Park ranks as the #5 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Marcus Semien is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitters such as Marcus Semien with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Stephen Kolek who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 5th-best field in MLB for RHB home runs.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Jake Burger as Major League Baseball's 19th-best home run hitter.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 5th-best field in MLB for RHB home runs.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Jake Burger has been unlucky this year, putting up a .276 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .340 — a .064 gap.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 5th-best field in MLB for RHB home runs.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Jack Leiter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 5th-best field in MLB for RHB home runs.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Extreme flyball hitters like Kyle Higashioka are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Stephen Kolek.. Kyle Higashioka has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.3-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 5th-best field in MLB for RHB home runs.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the same side that Jack Leiter throws from, Xander Bogaerts will be in a tough position in today's matchup.