Final Jul 4
BOS 11 -108 o8.0
WAS 2 +100 u8.0
Final Jul 4
CIN 9 +135 o8.0
PHI 6 -147 u8.0
Final Jul 4
STL 3 +133 o9.5
CHC 11 -144 u9.5
Final Jul 4
NYY 5 -101 o9.5
NYM 6 -107 u9.5
Final Jul 4
TB 3 +107 o10.0
MIN 4 -116 u10.0
Final Jul 4
PIT 0 +157 o7.0
SEA 6 -171 u7.0
Final (10) Jul 4
TEX 2 -103 o8.0
SD 3 -105 u8.0
Final (10) Jul 4
LAA 3 +126 o9.0
TOR 4 -137 u9.0
Final Jul 4
DET 2 -115 o8.5
CLE 1 +107 u8.5
Final Jul 4
MIL 6 -134 o7.5
MIA 5 +123 u7.5
Final Jul 4
BAL 3 +164 o8.5
ATL 2 -179 u8.5
Final Jul 4
CHW 3 -116 o11.0
COL 2 +107 u11.0
Final Jul 4
HOU 18 +155 o9.0
LAD 1 -169 u9.0
Final Jul 4
KC 9 +102 o8.5
AZ 3 -110 u8.5
Final Jul 4
SF 2 -102 o10.0
ATH 11 -106 u10.0

Boston @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Romy Gonzalez Total Hits Props • Boston

Romy Gonzalez
R. Gonzalez
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nationals Park grades out as the #27 ballpark in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Romy Gonzalez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Romy Gonzalez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Nationals Park grades out as the #27 ballpark in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Romy Gonzalez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Marcelo Mayer Total Hits Props • Boston

Marcelo Mayer
M. Mayer
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Marcelo Mayer has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Marcelo Mayer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Marcelo Mayer has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

Jarren Duran
J. Duran
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Jarren Duran is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Jarren Duran has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Jarren Duran is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Jarren Duran has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The #4 venue in the majors for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the best infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The #4 venue in the majors for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the best infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox.

James Wood Total Hits Props • Washington

James Wood
J. Wood
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

As it relates to his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, James Wood will have an edge today. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

James Wood

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, James Wood will have an edge today. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Daylen Lile Total Hits Props • Washington

Daylen Lile
D. Lile
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Among all parks, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Daylen Lile will hold the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Daylen Lile will hold that advantage in today's game.

Daylen Lile

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Among all parks, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Daylen Lile will hold the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Daylen Lile will hold that advantage in today's game.

Rob Refsnyder Total Hits Props • Boston

Rob Refsnyder
R. Refsnyder
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest LF fences in the majors. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have an edge in today's game.

Rob Refsnyder

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest LF fences in the majors. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have an edge in today's game.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

Ceddanne Rafaela
C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest LF fences in the majors. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker today.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest LF fences in the majors. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker today.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Washington

Josh Bell
J. Bell
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Josh Bell is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Josh Bell has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Josh Bell will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Josh Bell is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Josh Bell has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Josh Bell will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Riley Adams Total Hits Props • Washington

Riley Adams
R. Adams
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Riley Adams has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Riley Adams will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Riley Adams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Riley Adams has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Riley Adams will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston

Trevor Story
T. Story
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest LF fences in the majors. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Trevor Story will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker in today's game.

Trevor Story

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest LF fences in the majors. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Trevor Story will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker in today's game.

Nathaniel Lowe Total Hits Props • Washington

Nathaniel Lowe
N. Lowe
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Nathaniel Lowe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Nathaniel Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Nathaniel Lowe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Nate Eaton Total Hits Props • Boston

Nate Eaton
N. Eaton
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest LF fences in the majors. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Nate Eaton will hold the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker today.

Nate Eaton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest LF fences in the majors. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Nate Eaton will hold the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker today.

Carlos Narvaez Total Hits Props • Boston

Carlos Narvaez
C. Narvaez
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Carlos Narvaez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (58% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest LF fences in the majors. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Carlos Narvaez will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Carlos Narvaez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Carlos Narvaez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (58% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest LF fences in the majors. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Carlos Narvaez will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

Jacob Young
J. Young
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jacob Young will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Jacob Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jacob Young will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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