Final Jul 4
BOS 11 -108 o8.0
WAS 2 +100 u8.0
Final Jul 4
CIN 9 +135 o8.0
PHI 6 -147 u8.0
Final Jul 4
STL 3 +133 o9.5
CHC 11 -144 u9.5
Final Jul 4
NYY 5 -101 o9.5
NYM 6 -107 u9.5
Final Jul 4
TB 3 +107 o10.0
MIN 4 -116 u10.0
Final Jul 4
PIT 0 +157 o7.0
SEA 6 -171 u7.0
Final (10) Jul 4
TEX 2 -103 o8.0
SD 3 -105 u8.0
Final (10) Jul 4
LAA 3 +126 o9.0
TOR 4 -137 u9.0
Final Jul 4
DET 2 -115 o8.5
CLE 1 +107 u8.5
Final Jul 4
MIL 6 -134 o7.5
MIA 5 +123 u7.5
Final Jul 4
BAL 3 +164 o8.5
ATL 2 -179 u8.5
Final Jul 4
CHW 3 -116 o11.0
COL 2 +107 u11.0
Final Jul 4
HOU 18 +155 o9.0
LAD 1 -169 u9.0
Final Jul 4
KC 9 +102 o8.5
AZ 3 -110 u8.5
Final Jul 4
SF 2 -102 o10.0
ATH 11 -106 u10.0

Detroit @ Cleveland props

Progressive Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Casey Mize Strikeouts Thrown Props • Detroit

Casey Mize
C. Mize
starter SP • Detroit
Prop
4.5
Strikeouts Thrown
Projection
4
Best Odds
Prop
4.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Projection
4
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Casey Mize is projected to throw 85 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 9th-least of the day. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 90°. The Cleveland Guardians have 8 bats in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Mize in this game. Given that groundball hitters have a substantial advantage over flyball pitchers, Casey Mize and his 44.9% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a tough spot in today's outing matching up with 3 opposing GB batters.

Casey Mize

Prop: 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Projection: 4
Prop:
4.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Projection:
4

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Casey Mize is projected to throw 85 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 9th-least of the day. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 90°. The Cleveland Guardians have 8 bats in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Mize in this game. Given that groundball hitters have a substantial advantage over flyball pitchers, Casey Mize and his 44.9% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a tough spot in today's outing matching up with 3 opposing GB batters.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

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Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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