PIT +136 o8.0
BAL -148 u8.0
KC +104 o7.5
CLE -112 u7.5
WAS +107 o9.0
MIA -115 u9.0
NYM +117 o8.0
PHI -127 u8.0
DET +138 o8.5
NYY -150 u8.5
HOU +137 o8.5
TOR -149 u8.5
CHC -106 o8.5
ATL -102 u8.5
TB -124 o8.5
CHW +114 u8.5
MIL -105 o8.5
TEX -103 u8.5
MIN -115 o9.0
LAA +107 u9.0
STL +178 o7.5
SEA -195 u7.5
CIN +168 o7.5
SD -184 u7.5
AZ +128 o7.5
SF -139 u7.5
BOS -101 o10.0
ATH -107 u10.0
COL +274 o9.0
LAD -310 u9.0

Chicago @ Colorado props

Coors Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Mike Tauchman Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Mike Tauchman
M. Tauchman
right outfield RF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

Mike Tauchman will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. In the past week, Mike Tauchman's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.8% down to 0%. Mike Tauchman's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 90.8-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 86.7-mph over the past 7 days. Over the past week, Mike Tauchman's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.4%. Mike Tauchman has been lucky this year, putting up a .346 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .311 — a .035 deviation.

Mike Tauchman

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Mike Tauchman will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. In the past week, Mike Tauchman's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.8% down to 0%. Mike Tauchman's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 90.8-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 86.7-mph over the past 7 days. Over the past week, Mike Tauchman's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.4%. Mike Tauchman has been lucky this year, putting up a .346 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .311 — a .035 deviation.

Brenton Doyle Total Hits Props • Colorado

Brenton Doyle
B. Doyle
center outfield CF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 87°. Brenton Doyle will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Brenton Doyle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 87°. Brenton Doyle will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jordan Beck Total Hits Props • Colorado

Jordan Beck
J. Beck
left outfield LF • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Adrian Houser will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Beck in today's matchup. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team on the slate today. Jordan Beck has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 85.7-mph in the past week. Jordan Beck's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (6.4° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 15.6° seasonal mark. Jordan Beck has been lucky this year, compiling a .344 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .041 discrepancy.

Jordan Beck

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Adrian Houser will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Beck in today's matchup. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team on the slate today. Jordan Beck has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 85.7-mph in the past week. Jordan Beck's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (6.4° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 15.6° seasonal mark. Jordan Beck has been lucky this year, compiling a .344 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .041 discrepancy.

Michael Toglia Total Hits Props • Colorado

Michael Toglia
M. Toglia
first base 1B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in MLB for lefty batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 87°. Michael Toglia will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Compared to last season, Michael Toglia has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 43.1% to 50% this season.

Michael Toglia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in MLB for lefty batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 87°. Michael Toglia will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Compared to last season, Michael Toglia has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 43.1% to 50% this season.

Lenyn Sosa Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Lenyn Sosa
L. Sosa
second base 2B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

Lenyn Sosa is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today. Hitting from the same side that Antonio Senzatela throws from, Lenyn Sosa will be in a tough position today. Lenyn Sosa will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. By putting up a .287 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Lenyn Sosa has performed in the 15th percentile for offensive skills. By putting up a 9.12 K/BB rate this year, Lenyn Sosa has shown bad plate discipline, ranking in the 1st percentile.

Lenyn Sosa

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Lenyn Sosa is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today. Hitting from the same side that Antonio Senzatela throws from, Lenyn Sosa will be in a tough position today. Lenyn Sosa will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. By putting up a .287 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Lenyn Sosa has performed in the 15th percentile for offensive skills. By putting up a 9.12 K/BB rate this year, Lenyn Sosa has shown bad plate discipline, ranking in the 1st percentile.

Kyle Teel Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Kyle Teel
K. Teel
catcher C • Chi. White Sox
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

This year, Kyle Teel has been pulled from the game early in 17% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kyle Teel in today's matchup. Kyle Teel's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 90.7-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 86.5-mph over the last week.

Kyle Teel

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

This year, Kyle Teel has been pulled from the game early in 17% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kyle Teel in today's matchup. Kyle Teel's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 90.7-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 86.5-mph over the last week.

Andrew Benintendi Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Andrew Benintendi
A. Benintendi
left outfield LF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.4
Best Odds

Andrew Benintendi will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Andrew Benintendi's average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 88.6-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 85.6-mph over the last two weeks. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Andrew Benintendi's 30.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 35.9%. By putting up a .246 BABIP this year, Andrew Benintendi grades out in the 7th percentile.

Andrew Benintendi

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.4
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.4

Andrew Benintendi will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Andrew Benintendi's average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 88.6-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 85.6-mph over the last two weeks. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Andrew Benintendi's 30.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 35.9%. By putting up a .246 BABIP this year, Andrew Benintendi grades out in the 7th percentile.

Edgar Quero Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Edgar Quero
E. Quero
catcher C • Chi. White Sox
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

Edgar Quero is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game. The switch-hitting Edgar Quero will bat from his weak side (0) today against Antonio Senzatela Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Edgar Quero in today's matchup. Using Statcast metrics, Edgar Quero is in the 17th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .290. This year, Edgar Quero's 0% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 0th percentile among his peers.

Edgar Quero

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Edgar Quero is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game. The switch-hitting Edgar Quero will bat from his weak side (0) today against Antonio Senzatela Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Edgar Quero in today's matchup. Using Statcast metrics, Edgar Quero is in the 17th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .290. This year, Edgar Quero's 0% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 0th percentile among his peers.

Hunter Goodman Total Hits Props • Colorado

Hunter Goodman
H. Goodman
catcher C • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

Hitting from the same side that Adrian Houser throws from, Hunter Goodman will be at a disadvantage today. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team on the slate today. Hunter Goodman's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 41.3% on the season to 23.5% over the last two weeks. Hunter Goodman has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .366 mark is a good deal higher than his .292 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Hunter Goodman has displayed weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 11th percentile with a 4.98 K/BB rate.

Hunter Goodman

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Hitting from the same side that Adrian Houser throws from, Hunter Goodman will be at a disadvantage today. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team on the slate today. Hunter Goodman's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 41.3% on the season to 23.5% over the last two weeks. Hunter Goodman has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .366 mark is a good deal higher than his .292 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Hunter Goodman has displayed weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 11th percentile with a 4.98 K/BB rate.

Chase Meidroth Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Chase Meidroth
C. Meidroth
shortstop SS • Chi. White Sox
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.4
Best Odds

Antonio Senzatela will hold the platoon advantage against Chase Meidroth today. Extreme flyball batters like Chase Meidroth usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Antonio Senzatela. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Chase Meidroth in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, Chase Meidroth's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 89.4 mph to 63.5 mph. Over the past week, Chase Meidroth's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10.1%.

Chase Meidroth

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.4
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.4

Antonio Senzatela will hold the platoon advantage against Chase Meidroth today. Extreme flyball batters like Chase Meidroth usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Antonio Senzatela. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Chase Meidroth in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, Chase Meidroth's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 89.4 mph to 63.5 mph. Over the past week, Chase Meidroth's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10.1%.

Ryan Ritter Total Hits Props • Colorado

Ryan Ritter
R. Ritter
shortstop SS • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Ritter in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 87°. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Ryan Ritter will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ryan Ritter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Ritter in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 87°. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Ryan Ritter will hold that advantage in today's game.

Brooks Baldwin Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Brooks Baldwin
B. Baldwin
left outfield LF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brooks Baldwin in today's matchup. Brooks Baldwin has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (a core ability for batting average), grading out in the 19th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score this year. In terms of plate discipline, Brooks Baldwin's ability is quite weak, putting up a 5.95 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 17th percentile. In notching a .217 batting average this year, Brooks Baldwin is ranked in the 14th percentile.

Brooks Baldwin

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brooks Baldwin in today's matchup. Brooks Baldwin has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (a core ability for batting average), grading out in the 19th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score this year. In terms of plate discipline, Brooks Baldwin's ability is quite weak, putting up a 5.95 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 17th percentile. In notching a .217 batting average this year, Brooks Baldwin is ranked in the 14th percentile.

Mickey Moniak Total Hits Props • Colorado

Mickey Moniak
M. Moniak
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Mickey Moniak has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (89% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in MLB for lefty batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 87°. Mickey Moniak will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adrian Houser in today's matchup.

Mickey Moniak

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Mickey Moniak has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (89% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in MLB for lefty batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 87°. Mickey Moniak will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adrian Houser in today's matchup.

Ryan McMahon Total Hits Props • Colorado

Ryan McMahon
R. McMahon
third base 3B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in MLB for lefty batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 87°. Hitting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ryan McMahon will hold that advantage today.

Ryan McMahon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in MLB for lefty batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 87°. Hitting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ryan McMahon will hold that advantage today.

Thairo Estrada Total Hits Props • Colorado

Thairo Estrada
T. Estrada
second base 2B • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

Adrian Houser will have the handedness advantage over Thairo Estrada in today's game. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team on the slate today. Thairo Estrada's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (7.9° over the past 14 days) is significantly worse than his 12.4° seasonal angle. In the last two weeks, Thairo Estrada has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Thairo Estrada has been lucky this year. His .333 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .272.

Thairo Estrada

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Adrian Houser will have the handedness advantage over Thairo Estrada in today's game. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team on the slate today. Thairo Estrada's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (7.9° over the past 14 days) is significantly worse than his 12.4° seasonal angle. In the last two weeks, Thairo Estrada has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Thairo Estrada has been lucky this year. His .333 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .272.

Yanquiel Fernandez Total Hits Props • Colorado

Yanquiel Fernandez
Y. Fernandez
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in MLB for lefty batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 87°. Batting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Yanquiel Fernandez will have an edge in today's matchup. Yanquiel Fernandez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Yanquiel Fernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in MLB for lefty batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 87°. Batting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Yanquiel Fernandez will have an edge in today's matchup. Yanquiel Fernandez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Tyler Freeman Total Hits Props • Colorado

Tyler Freeman
T. Freeman
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.4
Best Odds

Adrian Houser will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Freeman today. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team on the slate today. In the past two weeks, Tyler Freeman's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 88.9 mph to 83.5 mph. Compared to his seasonal mark of 9°, Tyler Freeman has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-6.7°) in the past two weeks' worth of games. Tyler Freeman has been lucky this year, compiling a .372 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .043 difference.

Tyler Freeman

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.4
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.4

Adrian Houser will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Freeman today. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team on the slate today. In the past two weeks, Tyler Freeman's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 88.9 mph to 83.5 mph. Compared to his seasonal mark of 9°, Tyler Freeman has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-6.7°) in the past two weeks' worth of games. Tyler Freeman has been lucky this year, compiling a .372 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .043 difference.

Josh Rojas Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Josh Rojas
J. Rojas
third base 3B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in MLB for lefty batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 87°. Hitting from the opposite that Antonio Senzatela throws from, Josh Rojas will have an advantage in today's game. Josh Rojas has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.

Josh Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in MLB for lefty batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 87°. Hitting from the opposite that Antonio Senzatela throws from, Josh Rojas will have an advantage in today's game. Josh Rojas has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.

Miguel Vargas Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Miguel Vargas
M. Vargas
third base 3B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.4
Best Odds

Antonio Senzatela will hold the platoon advantage against Miguel Vargas today. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Miguel Vargas today. Miguel Vargas has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past 7 days. Miguel Vargas has recorded a .230 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Posting a .248 BABIP this year, Miguel Vargas is positioned in the 8th percentile.

Miguel Vargas

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.4
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.4

Antonio Senzatela will hold the platoon advantage against Miguel Vargas today. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Miguel Vargas today. Miguel Vargas has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past 7 days. Miguel Vargas has recorded a .230 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Posting a .248 BABIP this year, Miguel Vargas is positioned in the 8th percentile.

Ryan Noda Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Ryan Noda
R. Noda
first base 1B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in MLB for lefty batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 87°. Ryan Noda will hold the platoon advantage over Antonio Senzatela in today's matchup. Ryan Noda will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.

Ryan Noda

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in MLB for lefty batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 87°. Ryan Noda will hold the platoon advantage over Antonio Senzatela in today's matchup. Ryan Noda will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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// Scripts for MLB A/B test