Chicago @ Colorado picks
Coors Field
CHW vs COL Picks
MLB Picks
Total Bases

Mickey Moniak o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run ability, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Coors Field ranks as the #1 stadium in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 85°.. Mickey Moniak will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adrian Houser in today's matchup.
Total Bases

Miguel Vargas o1.5 Total Bases (-115)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 85°.. Bats such as Miguel Vargas with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Antonio Senzatela who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies.
Total Bases

Ryan McMahon o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 86th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. Coors Field ranks as the #1 stadium in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 85°.
Total Bases

Michael Toglia o0.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Coors Field ranks as the #1 stadium in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 85°.. Michael Toglia has big-time HR ability (90th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (34.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Adrian Houser struggles to strike batters out (2nd percentile K%) — great news for Toglia.. Michael Toglia will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases

Ryan Ritter o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Ritter in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Coors Field ranks as the #1 stadium in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 85°.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Ryan Ritter will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases

Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (-130)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Coors Field ranks as the #1 stadium in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 85°.
Total Bases

Andrew Benintendi o1.5 Total Bases (-115)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 85°.. Andrew Benintendi will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Antonio Senzatela in today's game.. Andrew Benintendi is apt to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.
Total Bases

Jordan Beck o1.5 Total Bases (-115)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run talent, Jordan Beck ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Beck is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 85°.. Jordan Beck has strong power (78th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (29% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Adrian Houser is a pitch-to-contact type (13th percentile K%) — great news for Beck.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jordan Beck will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases

Thairo Estrada o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Thairo Estrada is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. Coors Field ranks as the #1 stadium in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 85°.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Thairo Estrada will hold that advantage in today's game.