Boston @ Washington props

When it comes to his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Batting from the opposite that Lucas Giolito throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand in today's game. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bats such as James Wood with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Lucas Giolito who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Nationals Park projects as the #27 park in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jarren Duran in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Jarren Duran's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 92.4 mph to 86.8 mph. Jarren Duran has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, checking in at the 21st percentile with a 3.79 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Lucas Giolito throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have an edge today. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Nathaniel Lowe usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Lucas Giolito.

Josh Bell is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Josh Bell will get to bat from his strong side against Lucas Giolito in this game. Josh Bell has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Josh Bell are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Lucas Giolito. Josh Bell will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Jacob Young tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Lucas Giolito. Jacob Young will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Jacob Young has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 88.4-mph average to last year's 84.9-mph figure.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, CJ Abrams ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Lucas Giolito throws from, CJ Abrams will have an edge in today's matchup. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. CJ Abrams will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all stadiums. Ceddanne Rafaela has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 105-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 93.8-mph. Ceddanne Rafaela's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 16.5% to 19.8%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.335) provides evidence that Ceddanne Rafaela has been unlucky this year with his .312 actual wOBA.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Wilyer Abreu will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mike Soroka in today's game. Wilyer Abreu pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Hitters such as Wilyer Abreu with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Mike Soroka who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

In the majors, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Marcelo Mayer will have the handedness advantage over Mike Soroka today. Marcelo Mayer has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.7% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week's worth of games. In the past week, Marcelo Mayer's 50% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Roman Anthony is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Roman Anthony will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mike Soroka in today's game. Roman Anthony has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Roman Anthony has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.7-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 92.9-mph mark.

Daylen Lile's batting average talent is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In the majors, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Daylen Lile will hold the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Daylen Lile will hold that advantage today. Over the past week, Daylen Lile's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 96.7-mph lately.

Brady House's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all stadiums. Brady House will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Brady House has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 84.9-mph.

Abraham Toro is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. In the majors, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Abraham Toro's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (26.3° in the past two weeks) is considerably better than his 10.9° seasonal mark. Posting a .284 batting average this year, Abraham Toro finds himself in the 84th percentile.

Trevor Story is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all stadiums. Trevor Story has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.5-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 90.1-mph figure.

Riley Adams has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Riley Adams will hold that advantage today. In the past week, Riley Adams's 80% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.2%. Riley Adams has been unlucky this year, notching a .190 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .283 — a .093 gap.

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all stadiums. Over the last week, Carlos Narvaez's 75% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42%. Checking in at the 80th percentile, Carlos Narvaez sports a .348 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year. Carlos Narvaez has recorded a .348 BABIP this year, placing in the 92nd percentile.

David Hamilton has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Alex Call has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.