Houston @ Colorado props

The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of all the teams today. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jose Altuve in today's game. Jose Altuve has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.8% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past 14 days. Jose Altuve has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.7-mph dropping to 81.4-mph in the last two weeks. When it comes to his batting average, Jose Altuve has had positive variance on his side this year. His .259 mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .225.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 3rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Extreme groundball hitters like Isaac Paredes usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Kyle Freeland. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of all the teams today. Colorado's #3-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Isaac Paredes, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. Isaac Paredes will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Ryan McMahon is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 90°. Ryan McMahon will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 12th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of all the teams today. Christian Walker will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. In the past 14 days, Christian Walker's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.5% down to 6.5%. Christian Walker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, going from 14% on the season to 0% in the past week's worth of games.

The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of all the teams today. Jake Meyers will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Jake Meyers has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 5.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past 14 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.284) suggests that Jake Meyers has had positive variance on his side this year with his .302 actual batting average.

Mauricio Dubon is penciled in 9th in the lineup today. When starting against a southpaw since the start of last season, Mauricio Dubon has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 11% of the time. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of all the teams today. Mauricio Dubon will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. By putting up a .243 BABIP this year, Mauricio Dubon is ranked in the 4th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Coors Field projects as the #1 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 90°. Brenton Doyle will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Walter today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Caratini in the 15th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Victor Caratini is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of all the teams today. Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Victor Caratini today. Victor Caratini's average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 89.1-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 85.6-mph over the last two weeks.

Coors Field projects as the #1 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 90°. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Michael Toglia will get to bat from his better side against Brandon Walter in this game. Michael Toglia will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Yainer Diaz is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today's game. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of all the teams today. Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Yainer Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, going from 14% on the season to 5.9% in the past two weeks. Over the last two weeks, Yainer Diaz has recorded a mere a 3% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Coors Field projects as the #1 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 90°. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Walter throws from, Orlando Arcia will have an edge in today's matchup. Orlando Arcia will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Ryan Ritter's BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Coors Field projects as the #1 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 90°. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Walter throws from, Ryan Ritter will have the upper hand today.

Kyle Farmer has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (56% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Coors Field projects as the #1 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 90°. Kyle Farmer will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Walter in today's game.

When starting against a lefty on the mound this year, Tyler Freeman has been pulled from the game early 18% of the time. Among every team today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Tyler Freeman's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 90 mph to 85.7 mph. Compared to his seasonal angle of 9.2°, Tyler Freeman has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-6°) in the last two weeks' worth of games. Despite posting a .370 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tyler Freeman has been very fortunate given the .041 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Thairo Estrada ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Among every team today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros. There has been a significant decline in Thairo Estrada's launch angle from last year's 10.5° to 7.4° this season. In the last two weeks, Thairo Estrada has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.271) implies that Thairo Estrada has had positive variance on his side this year with his .309 actual wOBA.

Among every team today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros. Compared to his seasonal figure of 14.9°, Jordan Beck has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0°) over the past 14 days. Jordan Beck has been lucky this year, notching a .342 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .039 gap. Sporting a 4.3 K/BB rate this year, Jordan Beck has shown bad plate discipline, checking in at the 16th percentile.

Among every team today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Hunter Goodman has had positive variance on his side this year. His .366 figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .295. Posting a 4.96 K/BB rate this year, Hunter Goodman has shown weak plate discipline, placing in the 11th percentile.

Coors Field projects as the #1 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 90°. Cooper Hummel has displayed some good exit velocity metrics recently, averaging 99.9-mph on his flyballs in the last two weeks' worth of games.