Cleveland @ Chicago picks

Tanner Bibee has been good for two or more earned runs allowed in six straight starts, and the Guardians' bullpen ended June with the fifth-worst ERA in baseball. Look for the Cubs' second-ranked offense by runs per game to carry the club to victory.

Bibee has been handling a huge workload and has topped triple-digit pitches in three of his past five starts. His numbers are down across the board from his first two years in the league, and he’ll face a daunting Chicago lineup Wednesday. The Cubs rank third in wOBA and fourth in ISO against right-handed pitchers, and Bibee has also struggled on the road this year with a 4.96 ERA and 1.31 WHIP.

When estimating his home run ability, Lane Thomas ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Lane Thomas is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°.. Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Lane Thomas will have an edge in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°.. Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (41.6% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 17th-best hitter in baseball.. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. In the league, Wrigley Field's left field dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°.. Seiya Suzuki will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Carlos Santana is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Carlos Santana will get to bat from his better side against Shota Imanaga in this game.. Carlos Santana pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

In the league, Wrigley Field's left field dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In the past 14 days, Carson Kelly's 58.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.1%.. Using Statcast data, Carson Kelly ranks in the 88th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .356.. In notching a .372 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Carson Kelly has performed in the 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. In the league, Wrigley Field's left field dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's game.

Kyle Tucker projects as the 7th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°.. Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Kyle Tucker will have an edge in today's game.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°.. Austin Hedges will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga in today's game.. Austin Hedges pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. This season, Austin Hedges has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 93.2 mph compared to last year's 88.4 mph mark.

David Fry is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°.. David Fry will have the handedness advantage over Shota Imanaga in today's matchup.. David Fry pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johnathan Rodriguez in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. In the league, Wrigley Field's left field dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Johnathan Rodriguez will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Johnathan Rodriguez are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Shota Imanaga.