Cleveland @ Chicago picks
Wrigley Field
CLE vs CHC Picks
MLB Picks
MoneyLine

Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor
Outs Recorded


Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Bibee has been handling a huge workload and has topped triple-digit pitches in three of his past five starts. His numbers are down across the board from his first two years in the league, and he’ll face a daunting Chicago lineup Wednesday. The Cubs rank third in wOBA and fourth in ISO against right-handed pitchers, and Bibee has also struggled on the road this year with a 4.96 ERA and 1.31 WHIP.
Total RBIs

Dansby Swanson o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. In the league, Wrigley Field's left field dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's game.. There has been a significant improvement in Dansby Swanson's launch angle from last year's 10.2° to 14.5° this season.
Total RBIs

Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 17th-best hitter in baseball.. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Wrigley Field has the 9th-shallowest in MLB.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°.. Seiya Suzuki will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Carlos Santana o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Carlos Santana is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Carlos Santana will get to bat from his better side against Shota Imanaga in this game.. Carlos Santana pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Jose Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (41.6% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Jose Ramirez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.3-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 89.6-mph mark.
Total RBIs

Ian Happ o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Tanner Bibee today.. Ian Happ has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kyle Tucker projects as the 7th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°.. Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Kyle Tucker will have an edge in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Austin Hedges o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°.. Austin Hedges will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga in today's game.. Austin Hedges pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. This season, Austin Hedges has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 93.2 mph compared to last year's 88.4 mph mark.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

David Fry o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
David Fry is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°.. David Fry will have the handedness advantage over Shota Imanaga in today's matchup.. David Fry pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Johnathan Rodriguez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johnathan Rodriguez in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. In the league, Wrigley Field's left field dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Johnathan Rodriguez will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Johnathan Rodriguez are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Shota Imanaga.
Total Bases

Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. In the league, Wrigley Field's left field dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's game.. There has been a significant improvement in Dansby Swanson's launch angle from last year's 10.2° to 14.5° this season.