Los Angeles @ Atlanta picks
Truist Park
LAA vs ATL Picks
MLB Picks
MoneyLine

Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor
Outs Recorded


Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Kikuchi has thrown triple-digit pitches in consecutive starts with seven innings pitched in each. The southpaw has been tidy this season with a 2.79 ERA, but his 4.10 xFIP and 81.6% strand rate suggest tougher times are coming. The Braves are also a ripe candidate for better luck at the dish with the sixth-lowest BABIP against left-handed pitchers and fourth-lowest overall across the past 30 days.
Strikeouts Thrown

Yusei Kikuchi u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-115)
Projection 5 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats.. Due to his large platoon split, Yusei Kikuchi will have a disadvantage matching up with 7 hitters in the projected lineup who hit from the other side in this game.. Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Yusei Kikuchi (34.1% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today's game with 2 GB hitters in Atlanta's projected lineup.
Total RBIs

Marcell Ozuna o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Truist Park grades out as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs

Jorge Soler o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run ability, Jorge Soler ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Truist Park grades out as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jorge Soler hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Sean Murphy o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Truist Park grades out as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats.
Total RBIs

Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 5th-best hitter in the majors.. Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Truist Park grades out as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs

Austin Riley o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Truist Park grades out as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs

Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ozzie Albies is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. Truist Park grades out as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats.
Total RBIs

Logan O'Hoppe o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run ability, Logan O'Hoppe ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Truist Park grades out as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Logan O'Hoppe has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.3-mph to 96.4-mph over the last two weeks.
Total RBIs

Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Olson as MLB's 18th-best home run hitter.. Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The #5 field in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's centerfield fences are the 5th-shallowest.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense.
Total RBIs

Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+115)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Mike Trout projects as the 10th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Truist Park grades out as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).