LIVE Top 6th Jul 4
HOU 9 +155 o9.0
LAD 1 -169 u9.0
LIVE Top 4th Jul 4
KC 8 +102 o8.5
AZ 2 -110 u8.5
LIVE Bottom 3rd Jul 4
SF 0 -102 o10.0
ATH 5 -106 u10.0
Final Jul 4
BOS 11 -108 o8.0
WAS 2 +100 u8.0
Final Jul 4
CIN 9 +135 o8.0
PHI 6 -147 u8.0
Final Jul 4
STL 3 +133 o9.5
CHC 11 -144 u9.5
Final Jul 4
NYY 5 -101 o9.5
NYM 6 -107 u9.5
Final Jul 4
TB 3 +107 o10.0
MIN 4 -116 u10.0
Final Jul 4
PIT 0 +157 o7.0
SEA 6 -171 u7.0
Final (10) Jul 4
TEX 2 -103 o8.0
SD 3 -105 u8.0
Final (10) Jul 4
LAA 3 +126 o9.0
TOR 4 -137 u9.0
Final Jul 4
DET 2 -115 o8.5
CLE 1 +107 u8.5
Final Jul 4
MIL 6 -134 o7.5
MIA 5 +123 u7.5
Final Jul 4
BAL 3 +164 o8.5
ATL 2 -179 u8.5
Final Jul 4
CHW 3 -116 o11.0
COL 2 +107 u11.0

San Francisco @ Arizona picks

Chase Field

SF vs AZ Picks

MLB Picks
MoneyLine
San Francisco Giants logo
SF (+115)
Best Odds
 +115 BetMGM
Pick made: 3 days ago
Kenny Ducey image
Kenny Ducey
Betting Analyst
 +107
 +110
 +110
 +115
 +115
 +107

Gallen, six years his elder, has essentially forgotten how to pitch after a slight decline in performance over the last two years. His strikeout rate has dropped to 20.8% this season with his walk rate now approaching 10%, and that’s put the onus on him to rack up outs on contact when he needs to – something he’s done to varying degrees of success since his stellar 2022 season. The righty has now allowed 19 home runs – good for second-worst in the National League – and while he’s shown some improved control this month, he’s grown worse at keeping the ball in the yard. His Expected Slugging is a dastardly .490 thanks to a drop in ground balls and another rough year in terms of limiting hard contact. Against a Giants team that has hit for power this year – and hits fly-ballers far better than ground-ballers, I believe this slumbering offense will wake up in a big way. 

Game Prop
San Francisco Giants logo
Arizona Diamondbacks logo
Any Runs Scored in 1st Inning? (Yes: -115)
Pick made: 3 days ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

The Diamondbacks plate a run in the first inning at the highest rate in the majors (35.7%) and they rank third in OPS (.776). They should be able to get to Giants righty Hayden Birdsong who has been given the start today. Birdsong is far more effective coming out of the bullpen and he has an ugly 5.40 ERA with a 1.44 WHIP in seven starts. That said, Arizona has an even worse pitcher on the mound in Zac Gallen who has a 6.97 ERA over his last 10 starts. He faces a Giants lineup that has gotten more dangerous at the top after trading for Rafael Devers. 

Total RBIs
Heliot Ramos logo
Heliot Ramos o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +170 BetMGM
Pick made: 3 days ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  +165
 -
 -
o0.5  +170
o0.5  +165
o0.5  +150
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Heliot Ramos ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Chase Field ranks as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense.. Heliot Ramos's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 41.9% to 48%.
Total RBIs
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +210 BetMGM
Pick made: 3 days ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  +155
 -
 -
o0.5  +210
o0.5  +184
o0.5  +155
When assessing his home run ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Chase Field ranks as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense.. Willy Adames has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 11.2% seasonal rate to 20% over the past 7 days.. Willy Adames has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 96.9-mph in the last week's worth of games.
Total RBIs
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. logo
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +160 DraftKings
Pick made: 3 days ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  +160
 -
 -
o0.5  +155
o0.5  +159
o0.5  +160
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Chase Field ranks as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among every team playing today, the 8th-worst infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-120)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 -120 BetMGM
Pick made: 3 days ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  -130
 -
 -
o1.5  -120
o1.5  -125
 -
Rafael Devers projects as the 19th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. The #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Rafael Devers will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Rafael Devers has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.7-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 96.4-mph.
Total Bases
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +120 bet365
Pick made: 3 days ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  +105
o1.5  +120
 -
o1.5  +115
o1.5  +108
o1.5  +100
Rafael Devers projects as the 19th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. The #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Rafael Devers will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Rafael Devers has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.7-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 96.4-mph.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +105 BetMGM
Pick made: 3 days ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  -120
 -
 -
o1.5  +105
o1.5  -103
 -
When assessing his home run ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Chase Field ranks as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense.. Willy Adames has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 11.2% seasonal rate to 20% over the past 7 days.. Willy Adames has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 96.9-mph in the last week's worth of games.
Outs Recorded
Zac Gallen logo
Zac Gallen u17.5 Outs Recorded (+114)
Projection 17 (Under)
Best Odds
u17.5 +130 DraftKings
Pick made: 3 days ago
EV Model Rating
u17.5  +130
 -
u17.5  +114
u17.5  +110
u17.5  +120
 -
It may be best to expect positive regression for the San Francisco Giants offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 8th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.. Adrian Johnson profiles as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be calling pitches today.. Chase Field ranks as the #3 field in the game for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Zac Gallen's fastball velocity has decreased 1.2 mph this year (92.6 mph) below where it was last season (93.8 mph).. Zac Gallen has displayed weak control this year, notching a 21st percentile walk rate of 9.8%.
Outs Recorded
Hayden Birdsong logo
Hayden Birdsong u14.5 Outs Recorded (+122)
Projection 14.3 (Under)
Best Odds
u14.5 +126 Caesars
Pick made: 3 days ago
EV Model Rating
u14.5  +120
 -
u14.5  +122
u14.5  +110
u14.5  +126
 -
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Hayden Birdsong is projected to throw 85 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 6th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.. Adrian Johnson profiles as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be calling pitches today.. Chase Field ranks as the #3 field in the game for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Because groundball hitters have a notable edge over flyball pitchers, Hayden Birdsong and his 37.1% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a tough spot in this outing facing 2 opposing GB hitters.. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams playing today.
Total Bases
Heliot Ramos logo
Heliot Ramos o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +110 bet365
Pick made: 3 days ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  +100
o1.5  +110
 -
o1.5  +105
o1.5  +100
o1.5  -120
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Heliot Ramos ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Chase Field ranks as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense.. Heliot Ramos's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 41.9% to 48%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Heliot Ramos logo
Heliot Ramos o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 -145 BetMGM
Pick made: 3 days ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  -155
 -
 -
o1.5  -145
o1.5  -147
 -
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Heliot Ramos ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Chase Field ranks as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense.. Heliot Ramos's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 41.9% to 48%.

SF vs AZ Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

62% picking Arizona

38%
62%

Total PicksSF 312, AZ 514

Moneyline
SF
AZ

SF vs AZ Top User Picks

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User Picks

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