The Arizona Diamondbacks plate a run in the first inning at the highest rate in the majors, and that, combined with a struggling starter, has me betting on an early run to be scored in tonight's clash against the San Francisco Giants.
My MLB picks for today also include betting on runs to be scored in the first inning at Coors and Citi Field.
Here are my best free YRFI and NRFI bets for Tuesday, July 1.
Best NRFI/YRFI bets today
Giants vs
Diamondbacks: YRFI
Brewers vs
Mets: YRFI
Astros vs
Rockies: YRFI
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NRFI/YRFI bets for July 1
Giants at Diamondbacks: YRFI/NRFI (-114 at ProphetX)
The Arizona Diamondbacks plate a run in the first inning at the highest rate in the majors (35.7%), and they rank third in OPS (.776).
They should be able to get to San Francisco Giants righty Hayden Birdsong, who has been given the start today. Birdsong has been far more effective coming out of the bullpen, and he owns an ugly 5.40 ERA with a 1.44 WHIP in seven starts.
That said, Arizona has an even worse pitcher on the mound in Zac Gallen, who sports a 5.75 ERA through 17 starts. Gallen has a 6.97 ERA over his last 10 appearances and faces a Giants lineup that is more dangerous at the top after trading for Rafael Devers.
- Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: (NBCS-CA, Dbacks TV)
- Bet: NRFI/YRFI
Brewers at Mets: YRFI (+108 at ProphetX)
On the surface, this seems like a game where you wouldn't expect many early runs. After all, both starting pitchers have an ERA below 3.00, and the Milwaukee Brewers rank just 27th in first-inning run rate.
That said, Milwaukee's Freddy Peralta has an expected ERA of 3.74, and New York Mets starter Clay Holmes owns an xERA of 4.12.
The Brewers have also been hitting significantly better on the road, where they sit fifth in the majors in OPS (.747). Meanwhile, the Mets are seventh in OPS (.740), with that number ticking up to .761 against righties like Peralta.
- Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch:
Mets - SNYBrewers - FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin
- Bet: YRFI
Astros at Rockies: YRFI (-140 at ProphetX)
Anytime you can get the YRFI prop for a game at Coors Field at -140 or better, you have to seriously consider it. Not only is this game taking place at the most hitter-friendly venue in baseball, but there's also an 8 mph breeze blowing toward the outfield.
The Colorado Rockies will be sending Chase Dollander to the hill tonight. The right-hander possesses a 6.06 ERA through 13 starts, and that ERA ramps up to 8.54 with an OBA of .306 at home.
- Time: 8:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch:
Rockies - Rockies.TVAstros - Space City Home Network
- Bet: YRFI
❓What are NRFI and YRFI bets❓
NRFI (No Run First Inning) and YRFI (Yes Run First Inning) bets add a thrilling twist to the start of an MLB game. A NRFI bet is a wager that no runs will be scored in the first inning. You're betting that the starting pitchers for both teams will get through the first inning without allowing any runs, whether by striking out batters, inducing ground balls, or through solid defensive play.
A YRFI bet is the exact opposite. You're betting that at least one run will be scored in the first inning. In this case, you’re hoping for an early offensive burst such as a leadoff walk, a timely hit, or even a home run.
NRFI and YRFI bets add excitement to the early part of a game and offer immediate gratification for bettors looking for a quick resolution.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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