New York @ Toronto Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 6th-worst ballpark in MLB for righty base hits. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -5° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Compared to his seasonal mark of 8.7°, Bo Bichette has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5°) in the last 14 days.

Addison Barger is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Addison Barger stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams playing today. Addison Barger will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 6th-worst ballpark in MLB for righty base hits. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -5° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Ernie Clement has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.1-mph dropping to 82.6-mph in the last two weeks. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Ernie Clement's 5.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14%. Ernie Clement has been lucky this year, compiling a .331 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .299 — a .032 discrepancy.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Max Scherzer in today's game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 10% rate last year to 18.5% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have an edge in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Andres Gimenez will probably have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees only has 1 same-handed RP. Extreme groundball bats like Andres Gimenez are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Carlos Rodon. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average ability. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have an advantage in today's matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams playing today.

In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Max Scherzer throws from, J.C. Escarra will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in baseball. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Aaron Judge hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Aaron Judge has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 25.6% seasonal rate to 31.3% over the past 14 days. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Aaron Judge's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 99-mph over the course of the season to 101.3-mph lately.

Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Max Scherzer throws from, Trent Grisham will have an edge today. Trent Grisham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Trent Grisham has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph to 93.1-mph over the last 14 days. Trent Grisham's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 41.4% on the season to 66.7% over the past week.

Anthony Volpe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. There has been a significant improvement in Giancarlo Stanton's launch angle from last year's 14.3° to 24° this year. Utilizing Statcast data, Giancarlo Stanton is in the 80th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .336.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Ben Rice will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Scherzer in today's game. Ben Rice has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 17.1% seasonal rate to 25% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Ben Rice has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last season's 90-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonatan Clase in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams playing today. Jonatan Clase will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Extreme flyball hitters like DJ LeMahieu tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Max Scherzer.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. George Springer is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. George Springer will hold the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams playing today.

In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Austin Wells will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Scherzer in today's game. Austin Wells's launch angle this season (21.2°) is significantly better than his 16.9° figure last year. Austin Wells has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .214 BA is a good deal lower than his .233 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Cody Bellinger will have the handedness advantage over Max Scherzer today. In terms of plate discipline, Cody Bellinger's skill is quite strong, posting a 1.75 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 78th percentile.

In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Myles Straw will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Myles Straw will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Myles Straw's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.1-mph over the course of the season to 96.1-mph recently.

In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Davis Schneider will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Rodon today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams playing today. New York's 3rd-worst outfield defense of the day creates a favorable matchup for Davis Schneider, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Davis Schneider will hold that advantage today.