Philadelphia @ Atlanta picks

Spencer Schwellenbach hardly walks anyone, and the Atlanta Braves right-hander has seen his xBA drop to .247 in June. Meanwhile, Atlanta has struggled to hit for any sort of power, coming in with a .096 ISO over the last 14 days. Hits will be hard to come by against Jesus Luzardo, who’s been brilliant with a 27% strikeout rate and solid .251 xBA. With both starters firing on all cylinders, expect runs to be at a premium at Truist Park tonight.

The Atlanta Braves’ offense isn’t exactly flourishing, with struggles up and down their lineup. Marcell Ozuna isn’t having the best campaign either, hitting .247 with 11 home runs and 40 RBIs. The veteran has just two bombs in the month of June, but there’s reason to believe he could go deep tonight against the Philadelphia Phillies. Jesus Luzardo is on the hill versus Atlanta, and Ozuna is 5-for-13 lifetime against him with a home run. Ozuna could find the bleachers in this one.

Jesus Luzardo began the season on fire but has cooled off. Since the start of May, he has pitched to a 5.67 ERA with a 1.57 WHIP across 10 starts. Today he'll be on the road to face a Braves squad that has been one of the unluckiest teams in the majors. The Braves are slugging just .379 but their xSLG of .425 is significantly higher. Atlanta has a stacked lineup and seven batters today will have the platoon advantage against Luzardo. That's especially important because right-handed batters boast an OPS of .776 against him.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Truist Park projects as the #4 ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Olson as MLB's 18th-best home run hitter.. Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Truist Park grades out as the #4 park in the game for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Truist Park grades out as the #4 park in the game for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Austin Riley is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Truist Park projects as the #4 ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Alec Bohm has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (51% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Truist Park projects as the #4 ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Michael Harris II is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.. Because of Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Michael Harris II will be at a big disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's game.. In the past 7 days, Michael Harris II's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.2% down to 0%.. Michael Harris II has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph dropping to 86.2-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.. In the last 7 days, Michael Harris II's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ronald Acuna Jr. as the 3rd-best hitter in the game when assessing his batting average talent.. Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Truist Park projects as the #4 ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Truist Park grades out as the #4 park in the game for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Truist Park projects as the #4 ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Olson as MLB's 18th-best home run hitter.. Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Truist Park grades out as the #4 park in the game for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.