Toronto @ Boston Picks & Props

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. The weather report projects the most favorable pitching conditions of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the same side that Lucas Giolito throws from, Bo Bichette encounters a tough challenge today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bo Bichette in today's matchup.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. The weather report projects the most favorable pitching conditions of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Lucas Giolito will hold the platoon advantage over Alejandro Kirk in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Alejandro Kirk will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. The weather report projects the most favorable pitching conditions of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the strongest among every team playing today. Jarren Duran's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 92.8-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 90.1-mph in the last week's worth of games. Jarren Duran has shown weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 19th percentile with a 4.06 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The #4 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Wilyer Abreu will have the handedness advantage against Chris Bassitt today... and moreover, Bassitt has a large platoon split.

Abraham Toro is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The #4 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Abraham Toro will hold that advantage in today's game.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. The weather report projects the most favorable pitching conditions of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the same side that Lucas Giolito throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have a disadvantage today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #4 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The #4 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Lucas Giolito throws from, Andres Gimenez will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

The #4 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Because of Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, David Hamilton will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. David Hamilton will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Roman Anthony is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. The #4 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Roman Anthony will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt in today's matchup... and even better, Bassitt has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The #4 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Lucas Giolito throws from, Nathan Lukes will have the upper hand in today's game. Nathan Lukes has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest LF fences today.

Addison Barger is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #4 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Addison Barger will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito in today's matchup. Addison Barger pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The #4 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Romy Gonzalez has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Romy Gonzalez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

The #4 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Myles Straw has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Myles Straw has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.9-mph average in the past week to his seasonal average of 89-mph. In the past week, Myles Straw's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The #4 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Ernie Clement pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Ernie Clement has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87.3-mph average to last season's 85.3-mph average.

Carlos Narvaez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (63% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. The #4 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's game.

The #4 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Trevor Story hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Trevor Story's true offensive ability to be a .306, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .030 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .276 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The #4 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Marcelo Mayer has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Connor Wong has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Alan Roden has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.