Colorado @ Milwaukee Picks & Props

Mickey Moniak is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Extreme groundball batters like Mickey Moniak tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jose Quintana. Over the last 14 days, Mickey Moniak has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 11% to 22.7%. Mickey Moniak's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 13% to 19.9%.

There has been a decrease in Jackson Chourio's average exit velocity this season, from 89.7 mph last year to 87.5 mph now Jackson Chourio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 16% to 12.1%. When it comes to plate discipline, Jackson Chourio's skill is quite bad, putting up a 4.65 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 12th percentile.

William Contreras has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 10% rate last year has dropped to 4.6% this year. William Contreras's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 96.7-mph mark last year has fallen off to 92.5-mph. In the last 14 days, William Contreras's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (6°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.5°.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Ryan McMahon has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13.4% seasonal rate to 22.7% over the past two weeks. Ryan McMahon has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94-mph average to last year's 92-mph figure. Ryan McMahon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 17.9% on the season to 27.3% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Kyle Freeland will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sal Frelick today. Compared to his seasonal figure of 10.6°, Sal Frelick has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4°) over the past two weeks. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.265) suggests that Sal Frelick has had positive variance on his side this year with his .296 actual batting average. Sal Frelick has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 5.4° mark is among the lowest in the game this year (7th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Tyler Freeman is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Tyler Freeman will have the handedness advantage against Jose Quintana in today's matchup. Tyler Freeman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Ritter in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Ryan Ritter will have an edge in today's matchup. Ryan Ritter hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Ranking in the 90th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.02 ft/sec this year, Ryan Ritter is notably quick.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Brenton Doyle will have an edge today. Brenton Doyle hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Brenton Doyle has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.3-mph average to last year's 89.1-mph EV. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Brenton Doyle has experienced some negative variance this year. His .251 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .310.

Thairo Estrada is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Thairo Estrada will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana today. Compared to his seasonal average of 5.8°, Thairo Estrada has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 9° figure in the past 14 days.

Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Hunter Goodman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's matchup. Hunter Goodman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Hunter Goodman has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12% seasonal rate to 18.5% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Jordan Beck is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Jordan Beck will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's matchup. Jordan Beck has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 6.6% rate last season to 13% this season. Jordan Beck has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 88.4-mph average to last year's 86.1-mph EV.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Braxton Fulford will have the upper hand in today's game. Braxton Fulford hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Michael Toglia is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Michael Toglia will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Jose Quintana in today's game. Michael Toglia has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 10.8% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Michael Toglia's launch angle in recent games (19.9° over the last two weeks) is considerably better than his 15.9° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brice Turang can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Brice Turang hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Brice Turang will hold that advantage today.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Caleb Durbin will have an edge today. Caleb Durbin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Caleb Durbin will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. In terms of plate discipline, Caleb Durbin's ability is quite good, sporting a 1.56 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 85th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 11th-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP talent. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Christian Yelich stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Extreme flyball bats like Christian Yelich usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kyle Freeland.

Kyle Farmer is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Kyle Farmer will have the handedness advantage against Jose Quintana today. Kyle Farmer has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .225 figure is a good deal lower than his .245 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Rhys Hoskins will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Rhys Hoskins will hold that advantage today. Rhys Hoskins's launch angle lately (27° in the past 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 22.9° seasonal angle. Rhys Hoskins's 22.9° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in the league: 97th percentile.

Isaac Collins is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. The switch-hitting Isaac Collins will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Kyle Freeland. Isaac Collins will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Isaac Collins has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 6.7% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the past 14 days.