Colorado @ Milwaukee picks

The Rockies average just 2.98 runs per game on the road while batting .206. Expect another poor performance today against Jose Quintana and the Brewers. Quintana can find himself in trouble in the middle innings but he tends to start strong, pitching to a 1.50 ERA through the first three innings. The Rockies respond with lefty Kyle Freeland who has pitched to a solid 3.64 ERA in seven away starts. The Brewers are 24th in the majors in slugging (.378) while ranking 28th in run first inning percentage (23.5%)

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 84th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Mickey Moniak is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Mickey Moniak has a ton of pop (84th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (27% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jose Quintana doesn't generate many whiffs (24th percentile K%) — great news for Moniak.. Extreme groundball batters like Mickey Moniak tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jose Quintana.

When assessing his home run ability, Brenton Doyle ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Brenton Doyle will have an edge today.. Brenton Doyle has big-time power (79th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (28.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jose Quintana doesn't generate many whiffs (17th percentile K%) — great news for Doyle.. Brenton Doyle hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Hunter Goodman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's matchup.. Hunter Goodman has strong power (95th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (27.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jose Quintana is a pitch-to-contact type (18th percentile K%) — great news for Goodman.

Michael Toglia is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Michael Toglia will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Jose Quintana in today's game.. Michael Toglia has strong power (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (33.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jose Quintana is a pitch-to-contact type (2nd percentile K%) — great news for Toglia.. Michael Toglia has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 10.8% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Thairo Estrada is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Thairo Estrada will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana today.. Compared to his seasonal average of 5.8°, Thairo Estrada has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 9° figure in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 81st percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Jordan Beck is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Jordan Beck will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's matchup.. Jordan Beck has big-time HR ability (81st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (29.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jose Quintana is a pitch-to-contact type (11th percentile K%) — great news for Beck.

When it comes to his home run talent, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Ryan McMahon has big-time power (86th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (30% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jose Quintana has a pitch-to-contact profile (9th percentile K%) — great news for McMahon.. Ryan McMahon has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13.4% seasonal rate to 22.7% over the past two weeks.. Ryan McMahon has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94-mph average to last year's 92-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Hunter Goodman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's matchup.. Hunter Goodman has strong power (95th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (27.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jose Quintana is a pitch-to-contact type (18th percentile K%) — great news for Goodman.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Hunter Goodman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's matchup.. Hunter Goodman has strong power (95th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (27.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jose Quintana is a pitch-to-contact type (18th percentile K%) — great news for Goodman.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Freeland to throw 75 pitches in today's game (least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. Adrian Johnson grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in this game.. Hunter Goodman, the Rockies's expected catcher in today's matchup, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Given that groundball batters hold a sizeable advantage over flyball pitchers, Kyle Freeland and his 32.4% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a hard position in this outing being matched up with 3 opposing GB bats.