LIVE Top 6th Jul 4
HOU 9 +155 o9.0
LAD 1 -169 u9.0
LIVE Top 4th Jul 4
KC 8 +102 o8.5
AZ 2 -110 u8.5
LIVE Bottom 3rd Jul 4
SF 0 -102 o10.0
ATH 5 -106 u10.0
Final Jul 4
BOS 11 -108 o8.0
WAS 2 +100 u8.0
Final Jul 4
CIN 9 +135 o8.0
PHI 6 -147 u8.0
Final Jul 4
STL 3 +133 o9.5
CHC 11 -144 u9.5
Final Jul 4
NYY 5 -101 o9.5
NYM 6 -107 u9.5
Final Jul 4
TB 3 +107 o10.0
MIN 4 -116 u10.0
Final Jul 4
PIT 0 +157 o7.0
SEA 6 -171 u7.0
Final (10) Jul 4
TEX 2 -103 o8.0
SD 3 -105 u8.0
Final (10) Jul 4
LAA 3 +126 o9.0
TOR 4 -137 u9.0
Final Jul 4
DET 2 -115 o8.5
CLE 1 +107 u8.5
Final Jul 4
MIL 6 -134 o7.5
MIA 5 +123 u7.5
Final Jul 4
BAL 3 +164 o8.5
ATL 2 -179 u8.5
Final Jul 4
CHW 3 -116 o11.0
COL 2 +107 u11.0

Pittsburgh @ Milwaukee picks

American Family Field

PIT vs MIL Picks

MLB Picks
Total
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
Milwaukee Brewers logo
o6.5 (-110)
Best Odds
o6.5 +100 bet365
Pick made: 9 days ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst
o6.5  -132
o6.5  +100
o6.5  -132
o6.5  -118
o6.5  -105
o6.5  -132

Paul Skenes vs. Jacob Misiorowski will be a great pitching matchup, but the 6.5 scoring line is begging for an Over bet, especially since the Pirates and Brewers have topped the total in five of the last six head-to-heads. Pittsburgh and Milwaukee have also combined for seven runs in seven of the last nine meetings.

Strikeouts Thrown
Jacob Misiorowski logo
Jacob Misiorowski u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+112)
Projection 5.3 (Under)
Best Odds
u5.5 +115 DraftKings
Pick made: 9 days ago
EV Model Rating
u5.5  +115
 -
u5.5  +112
u5.5  +110
u5.5  +105
u5.5  +100
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Misiorowski to throw 81 pitches today (5th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Jacob Misiorowski (34% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 FB hitters in Pittsburgh's projected lineup.
Total RBIs
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +225 BetMGM
Pick made: 9 days ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  +195
 -
 -
o0.5  +225
o0.5  +200
o0.5  +180
Oneil Cruz projects as the 7th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Oneil Cruz will have the handedness advantage against Jacob Misiorowski today... and moreover, Misiorowski has a large platoon split.
Total RBIs
Spencer Horwitz logo
Spencer Horwitz o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +250 BetMGM
Pick made: 9 days ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  +230
 -
 -
o0.5  +250
o0.5  +230
o0.5  +225
Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The 8th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in American Family Field.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage against Jacob Misiorowski in today's game... and moreover, Misiorowski has a large platoon split.. Spencer Horwitz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 17.5% on the season to 23.1% in the past week's worth of games.
Total RBIs
Andrew McCutchen logo
Andrew McCutchen o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +230 BetRivers
Pick made: 9 days ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  +225
 -
 -
o0.5  +225
o0.5  +210
o0.5  +230
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Andrew McCutchen hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Bryan Reynolds logo
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +220 DraftKings
Pick made: 9 days ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  +220
 -
 -
o0.5  +200
o0.5  +200
o0.5  +200
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The 8th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in American Family Field.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Jacob Misiorowski... and even better, Misiorowski has a large platoon split.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Henry Davis logo
Henry Davis o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 -130 BetMGM
Pick made: 9 days ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  -145
 -
 -
o0.5  -130
o0.5  -135
 -
The 8th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in American Family Field.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Henry Davis has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.2% seasonal rate to 25% in the past two weeks.. Henry Davis has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.3-mph to 92.9-mph over the last two weeks.. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Henry Davis has suffered from bad luck this year. His .258 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .306.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 -165 BetMGM
Pick made: 9 days ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  -170
 -
 -
o0.5  -165
o0.5  -179
 -
Oneil Cruz projects as the 7th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Oneil Cruz will have the handedness advantage against Jacob Misiorowski today... and moreover, Misiorowski has a large platoon split.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Jake Bauers logo
Jake Bauers o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 -110 BetMGM
Pick made: 9 days ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  -125
 -
 -
o0.5  -110
o0.5  -115
 -
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Jake Bauers will have an edge today.. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Bauers has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Spencer Horwitz logo
Spencer Horwitz o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +130 DraftKings
Pick made: 9 days ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  +130
 -
 -
o0.5  -165
o0.5  -169
 -
Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The 8th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in American Family Field.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage against Jacob Misiorowski in today's game... and moreover, Misiorowski has a large platoon split.. Spencer Horwitz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 17.5% on the season to 23.1% in the past week's worth of games.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Rhys Hoskins logo
Rhys Hoskins o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 -145 BetMGM
Pick made: 9 days ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  -155
 -
 -
o0.5  -145
o0.5  -145
 -
Rhys Hoskins is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The 8th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in American Family Field.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Extreme groundball bats like Rhys Hoskins are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Paul Skenes.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

PIT vs MIL Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

65% picking Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee to go Under

35%
65%

Total PicksPIT 171, MIL 311

Total
Over
Under

PIT vs MIL Top User Picks

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User Picks

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