Toronto @ Cleveland picks
Progressive Field
TOR vs CLE Picks
MLB Picks
MoneyLine

Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Total RBIs


Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst
Vladdy continues to rake. He's hitting .315 with a .912 OPS with seven extra-base hits and 11 RBIs over his last 14 games. He ranks in the 100th percentile in xBA. While Guardians' starter Gavin Williams could be in for some regression with a 4.37 xERA, which ranks in the 30th percentile.
Strikeouts Thrown

Max Scherzer o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+100)
Projection 5.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Max Scherzer in the 90th percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.. The Cleveland Guardians have 4 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Nolan Jones, Gabriel Arias, Bo Naylor, Lane Thomas).. Bill Miller profiles as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be umping today.. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Alejandro Kirk (the Blue Jays's expected catcher in today's game) is considered to be a good pitch framer.. The #10 park in Major League Baseball for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.
Total RBIs

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average skill.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for righty base hits.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. This game is expected to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today (84%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.
Total RBIs

Jose Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Jose Ramirez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today (84%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.
Total Bases

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average skill.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for righty base hits.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. This game is expected to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today (84%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.
Total Bases

Carlos Santana o0.5 Total Bases (-140)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Carlos Santana is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. The #3 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. This game is expected to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today (84%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Carlos Santana pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Bo Naylor o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #3 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. This game is expected to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today (84%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Hitting from the opposite that Max Scherzer throws from, Bo Naylor will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Bo Naylor will hold that advantage today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-125)
Projection 2.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average skill.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for righty base hits.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. This game is expected to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today (84%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Gabriel Arias o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for righty base hits.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today (84%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Gabriel Arias has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total Bases

Lane Thomas o0.5 Total Bases (-135)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Lane Thomas is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for righty base hits.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. This game is expected to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today (84%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Lane Thomas will hold that advantage in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Alan Roden o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #3 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field has the 6th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. This game is expected to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today (84%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Alan Roden will hold the platoon advantage against Gavin Williams in today's game.