Seattle @ Minnesota picks

Raleigh has gone deep in four consecutive games, even smacking two bombs over the weekend in a matchup with the Chicago Cubs. He has a whopping 10 homers in June alone. Tonight, he’ll face Minnesota Twins starter Chris Paddack, who has allowed 11 long balls in 15 starts. In six at-bats, Raleigh has just one hit against Paddack — and, of course, it was a dinger.

The Mariners lead the majors in OPS on the road (.799) and have scored in the first inning in a whopping 50% of their away contests. That's bad news for Twins starter Chris Paddack who has a 6.00 ERA with an OBA of .311 in the opening frame. The Twins are eighth in the majors in run first inning percentage (32.1%) with that number surging to 36.1% at home. They should have success against Luis Castillo who has a 4.59 ERA with an OBA of .297 on the road.

Luis Castillo pitches substantially worse away from T-Mobile Park. His ERA balloons to 4.59, with opponents hitting .297 against him.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Target Field grades out as the #7 field in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in action today.. Randy Arozarena's 95.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to measure power) is in the 86th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 9th-best hitter in baseball when it comes to his batting average skill.. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Target Field grades out as the #7 field in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in action today.. Julio Rodriguez has been unlucky this year, posting a .317 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .361 — a .044 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Wallner as MLB's 10th-best home run hitter.. Matt Wallner is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Target Field grades out as the #7 field in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Matt Wallner will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Castillo has a large platoon split.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Wallner has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Target Field grades out as the #7 field in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Given Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Trevor Larnach will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trevor Larnach can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Carlos Correa is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Target Field grades out as the #7 field in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Carlos Correa will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Carlos Correa has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 95.5-mph over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Wallner as MLB's 10th-best home run hitter.. Matt Wallner is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Target Field grades out as the #7 field in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Matt Wallner will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Castillo has a large platoon split.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Wallner has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 9th-best hitter in baseball when it comes to his batting average skill.. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Target Field grades out as the #7 field in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the worst among all the teams in action today.. Julio Rodriguez has been unlucky this year, posting a .317 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .361 — a .044 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Target Field grades out as the #7 field in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to more offense.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in action today.. Donovan Solano has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.5-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.8-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 9th-best hitter in baseball when it comes to his batting average skill.. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Target Field grades out as the #7 field in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in action today.. Julio Rodriguez has been unlucky this year, posting a .317 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .361 — a .044 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 4th-best park in the game for BABIP.. Luis Castillo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.. Luis Castillo's 94.4-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a big 1.1-mph decline from last year's 95.5-mph mark.. Luis Castillo's 2204-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 14th percentile among all starting pitchers.. Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Luis Castillo has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 67.1% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.