Atlanta @ Miami props

The #2 stadium in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -11° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. Batting from the same side that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Austin Riley will have a tough matchup today. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the strongest out of all the teams on the slate today.

The #2 stadium in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -11° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. Sandy Alcantara will hold the platoon advantage over Ronald Acuna Jr. today. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the strongest out of all the teams on the slate today.

The #2 field in baseball for suppressing batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -11° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. Today, Xavier Edwards is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 42% rate (99th percentile). Extreme groundball batters like Xavier Edwards are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Bryce Elder.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Bryce Elder throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an advantage in today's game. Jesus Sanchez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Jesus Sanchez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.3% up to 25%.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Dane Myers is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dane Myers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Dane Myers will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Dane Myers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, rising from 48.1% on the season to 53.6% over the past two weeks. Dane Myers's 92.1-mph average exit velocity is one of the best in the majors this year: 88th percentile.

Liam Hicks will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Elder in today's matchup. Liam Hicks will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Liam Hicks's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 44.2% on the season to 100% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Javier Sanoja hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Javier Sanoja will hold that advantage in today's matchup. As it relates to his batting average, Javier Sanoja has experienced some negative variance this year. His .242 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .282.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Alex Verdugo will have an advantage today. Compared to his seasonal average of 9.6°, Alex Verdugo has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 24° figure in the last 7 days. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.306) provides evidence that Alex Verdugo has suffered from bad luck this year with his .279 actual wOBA.

Eric Wagaman is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Eric Wagaman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Eric Wagaman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage today.

Extreme flyball hitters like Ozzie Albies usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Sandy Alcantara. Ozzie Albies has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 89.1-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 86.7-mph figure. Ozzie Albies's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (17.8°) is significantly higher than his 14.2° angle last season. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ozzie Albies's true offensive talent to be a .316, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .036 deviation between that mark and his actual .280 wOBA.

Otto Lopez's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Otto Lopez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today's game. Otto Lopez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.1-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 91.7-mph. Last year, Otto Lopez had an average launch angle of 7.9° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 12.4°.

Connor Norby's BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Connor Norby will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last week, Connor Norby's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 104.1-mph recently. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.4°, Connor Norby has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 27° angle in the past week. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Connor Norby's true offensive ability to be a .315, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .026 difference between that mark and his actual .289 wOBA.

Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Agustin Ramirez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Agustin Ramirez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph to 94.6-mph in the past 14 days. Over the past week, Agustin Ramirez's 52.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 38.4%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.261) suggests that Agustin Ramirez has had some very poor luck this year with his .239 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Matt Olson will have an advantage today. Matt Olson has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, improving his 12.5% rate last year to 18.4% this year. Matt Olson has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.9-mph average to last season's 91.3-mph average.

Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Kyle Stowers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Kyle Stowers has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 11% rate last season to 18.1% this year. Using Statcast data, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 85th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .353.

Michael Harris II's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Michael Harris II will have an advantage in today's game. Michael Harris II hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Michael Harris II has been unlucky this year, compiling a .256 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .324 — a .068 discrepancy.

Sean Murphy has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Marcell Ozuna's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (21.5° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 15° seasonal figure. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Marcell Ozuna grades out in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .363. Placing in the 83rd percentile, Marcell Ozuna sports a .353 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Drake Baldwin is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Drake Baldwin will have the handedness advantage over Sandy Alcantara in today's game. Utilizing Statcast data, Drake Baldwin is in the 87th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .285. Drake Baldwin has notched a .344 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 75th percentile. Drake Baldwin has posted a .281 batting average this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile.

Nick Allen hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Nick Allen has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 88.7-mph average over the past week to his seasonal EV of 86.7-mph.