Arizona @ Colorado props

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Pavin Smith today. Pavin Smith's exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 90.9-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 87.8-mph over the past two weeks. Pavin Smith's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, going from 46.9% on the season to 33.3% over the past two weeks. When it comes to his batting average, Pavin Smith has experienced some positive variance this year. His .274 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .221.

The #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather forecast expects the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Farmer will hold that advantage in today's game.

Geraldo Perdomo's BABIP talent is projected in the 13th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Geraldo Perdomo today. Geraldo Perdomo has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph dropping to 85.7-mph over the last 7 days. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off lately, decreasing from 44.1% on the season to 36.1% over the last 14 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Geraldo Perdomo's true offensive ability to be a .303, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .027 difference between that mark and his actual .330 wOBA.

Alek Thomas is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup. Typically, bats like Alek Thomas who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Antonio Senzatela. Alek Thomas will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Alek Thomas has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 8.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last 7 days. Alek Thomas has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph dropping to 80.4-mph in the past week's worth of games.

Michael Toglia is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Coors Field projects as the #1 park in the majors for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather forecast expects the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.

Ryan Ritter's BABIP ability is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather forecast expects the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.

The #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather forecast expects the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Extreme groundball bats like Orlando Arcia are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brandon Pfaadt.

Batting from the same side that Antonio Senzatela throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have a disadvantage today. Eugenio Suarez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Eugenio Suarez has had some very good luck this year. His .370 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .319. With a .243 BABIP this year, Eugenio Suarez grades out in the 8th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 76th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather forecast expects the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.

Tim Tawa is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today. Hitting from the same side that Antonio Senzatela throws from, Tim Tawa will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tim Tawa today. Tim Tawa has been lucky this year, posting a .316 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .294 — a .022 discrepancy.

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Coors Field projects as the #1 park in the majors for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather forecast expects the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ildemaro Vargas ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Extreme flyball bats like Ildemaro Vargas tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Antonio Senzatela. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ildemaro Vargas today. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Ildemaro Vargas grades out in the 13th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .276. Ildemaro Vargas's 1.2% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) grades out in the 1st percentile since the start of last season.

Coors Field projects as the #1 park in the majors for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather forecast expects the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Jose Herrera's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (31° over the last two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 17.4° seasonal figure.

Batting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Hunter Goodman will have a disadvantage today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Hunter Goodman has had some very good luck this year. His .359 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .287. With a 5.68 K/BB rate this year, Hunter Goodman has displayed poor plate discipline, checking in at the 7th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 11th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Coors Field projects as the #1 park in the majors for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather forecast expects the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather forecast expects the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Braxton Fulford will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Mickey Moniak has been pulled from the game early 27% of the time. Extreme groundball bats like Mickey Moniak are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Brandon Pfaadt. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mickey Moniak's true offensive skill to be a .310, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .022 gap between that figure and his actual .332 wOBA. As it relates to plate discipline, Mickey Moniak's ability is quite weak, putting up a 3.94 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 20th percentile. In notching a .259 BABIP this year, Mickey Moniak has performed in the 15th percentile.

Brandon Pfaadt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Beck in today's matchup. Despite posting a .339 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jordan Beck has had positive variance on his side given the .036 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .303. Sporting a 4.41 K/BB rate this year, Jordan Beck has demonstrated bad plate discipline, grading out in the 14th percentile.

Antonio Senzatela will hold the platoon advantage against Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today's game. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today's matchup. Checking in at the 21st percentile, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has posted a .265 BABIP this year.

Randal Grichuk is penciled in 6th in the batting order today. Antonio Senzatela will hold the platoon advantage over Randal Grichuk today. Randal Grichuk will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Over the past week, Randal Grichuk's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.4% down to 0%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.257) provides evidence that Randal Grichuk has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .279 actual batting average.

Brandon Pfaadt will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Freeman in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tyler Freeman's true offensive ability to be a .328, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .040 gap between that figure and his actual .368 wOBA. Tyler Freeman has notched a .241 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 3rd percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Coors Field projects as the #1 park in the majors for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather forecast expects the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.