Arizona @ Colorado props

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Pavin Smith ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Coors Field profiles as the #1 field in the league for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the highest temperatures on the slate at 97°. Pavin Smith is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Ritter in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Coors Field projects as the #1 park in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the highest temperatures on the slate at 97°. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Ryan Ritter will hold that advantage in today's game.

37% of the time that Randal Grichuk has started against a lefty on the mound this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter. Randal Grichuk will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Randal Grichuk's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 18.1% to 12.2%. Randal Grichuk has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .277 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .256 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has put up a .258 BABIP this year, ranking in the 15th percentile.

Michael Toglia is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Coors Field profiles as the #1 field in the league for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the highest temperatures on the slate at 97°. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 12th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Geraldo Perdomo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Despite posting a .333 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Geraldo Perdomo has experienced some positive variance given the .029 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .304. With a .260 BABIP this year, Geraldo Perdomo is ranked in the 17th percentile.

Ryan McMahon is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Coors Field profiles as the #1 field in the league for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the highest temperatures on the slate at 97°. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Ryan McMahon will have the upper hand in today's game.

Coors Field profiles as the #1 field in the league for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the highest temperatures on the slate at 97°. Sam Hilliard will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Sam Hilliard will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ildemaro Vargas in the 3rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Ildemaro Vargas is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today's game. Ildemaro Vargas will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Ildemaro Vargas has recorded a .276 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 13th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ildemaro Vargas's 1.2% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) grades out in the 1st percentile since the start of last season.

Typically, hitters like Eugenio Suarez who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Carson Palmquist. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Eugenio Suarez in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Eugenio Suarez has been very fortunate this year. His .358 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .320. Eugenio Suarez has compiled a .224 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Eugenio Suarez has put up a .238 BABIP this year, grading out in the 7th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Coors Field projects as the #1 park in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the highest temperatures on the slate at 97°. Brenton Doyle will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Merrill Kelly will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Goodman in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the best infield defense is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.287) implies that Hunter Goodman has had positive variance on his side this year with his .361 actual wOBA. Hunter Goodman has shown weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 7th percentile with a 5.54 K/BB rate.

Coors Field projects as the #1 park in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the highest temperatures on the slate at 97°. Orlando Arcia will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Coors Field projects as the #1 park in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the highest temperatures on the slate at 97°. Extreme groundball batters like Jose Herrera usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Carson Palmquist. In the last two weeks, Jose Herrera's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 84-mph over the course of the season to 86.8-mph lately.

Tyler Freeman's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tyler Freeman is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Coors Field projects as the #1 park in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the highest temperatures on the slate at 97°.

Tim Tawa is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today's game. Tim Tawa will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tim Tawa's true offensive ability to be a .293, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .016 deviation between that mark and his actual .309 wOBA.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 11th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Coors Field projects as the #1 park in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the highest temperatures on the slate at 97°.

Coors Field profiles as the #1 field in the league for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the highest temperatures on the slate at 97°. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an advantage in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Mickey Moniak generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Merrill Kelly.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jordan Beck is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Coors Field projects as the #1 park in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the highest temperatures on the slate at 97°.

Corbin Carroll has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.