Kansas City @ San Diego picks

adres are 21-12 at home, and Royals righty Michael Lorenzen sports a suspect 4.91 ERA and 1.36 WHIP with his respective 5.94 and 1.43 road marks even worse. Additionally, Kansas City ranks 27th in wOBA and 28th in ISO against right-handed pitching. The Friars have veteran Nick Pivetta slated to start, and he’s been sharp this season with a solid .340 ERA and 3.55 xFIP, which includes elite 2.40 and 0.85 ratios at PETCO Park.

Manny Machado has stacked singles all season long. He is averaging 0.8 per game, has recorded one in more than half of his appearances, and enters play with at least one single in eight of his last 10 games.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Petco Park ranks as the #8 venue in the game for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Gavin Sheets is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Gavin Sheets will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage today.. In comparison to his 87.8-mph average last year, Gavin Sheets's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.8 mph.

When estimating his home run skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. The shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Petco Park.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Salvador Perez has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 13.8% seasonal rate to 21.7% over the past week.

Maikel Garcia's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Maikel Garcia is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Maikel Garcia hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Maikel Garcia's launch angle this season (9.6°) is a significant increase over his 6.2° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Xander Bogaerts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage in today's game.. Xander Bogaerts has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 91.6-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Petco Park.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Jake Cronenworth will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen in today's matchup.

Manny Machado's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 9th-best batter in MLB.. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Bobby Witt Jr. has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.1-mph average in the last week to his seasonal EV of 94.9-mph.. Bobby Witt Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 43.7% to 50%.

The Kansas City Royals have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress going forward. Mark Ripperger projects as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be calling pitches in this game.. The shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Petco Park.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Because of his reverse platoon split, Nick Pivetta encounters a tough challenge facing 6 batters in the projected batting order who share his hand today.

The shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Petco Park.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Elias Diaz will hold that advantage in today's game.. Over the last 14 days, Elias Diaz has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 6.4% to 20%.. Over the past 14 days, Elias Diaz's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.6-mph over the course of the season to 101.1-mph lately.