We have a jam-packed night of baseball ahead to take us into the weekend.
There is a ton of value on the board. In particular, I’m backing a few bats — headlined by $765 million man Juan Soto — to make noise at the plate with my MLB player props for June 20.
Best MLB player props today
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Soto o1.5 H+R+RBI (-115) -
Machado o0.5 singles (-105) -
Kirk o0.5 singles (-140)
MLB props for June 20
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-115 at DraftKings)
Juan Soto didn’t have the start to the season the New York Mets wanted or expected, but he is playing much better baseball of late.
Soto has cleared this line in 12 of his past 20 games, averaging 2.6 H+R+R. He has also hit for more power, generating 2.2 bases per game over the same stretch. That’s well above his season average of 1.6 bases.
Although Zack Wheeler is a difficult matchup, Soto has enjoyed plenty of success against him in his career. He is hitting .312 with an impressive .431 wOBA over 39 at bats against Wheeler. Zooming in, Soto has reached base in two of three plate appearances vs. Wheeler this season.
In an 8.5-total game trending towards 9.0, there should be offense. My MLB picks expect Soto to play a key role.
Manny Machado Over 0.5 singles (-105 at DraftKings)
Manny Machado has stacked singles all season long. He is averaging 0.8 per game, has recorded one in more than half of his appearances, and enters play with at least one single in eight of his last 10 games.
He’s in a good spot to get another one against Michael Lorenzen and the Royals. Lorenzen has allowed 9.4 hits per nine innings, one of the highest rates among all starting pitchers. A lot of those hits have been singles, with Lorenzen tying the likes of Nick Martinez and Tyler Anderson in singles allowed this season. Not great company.
Lorenzen has also allowed a noticeably higher average against righties than lefties, playing into the hands of Machado.
Not to mention, Machado is a hit machine against Lorenzen’s pitch mix. Isolating his primary pitches, Machado is hitting .339 vs. righties over the last two months.
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 singles (-140 at bet365)
Davis Martin presents a very nice matchup when chasing hits. He owns low strikeout rates and low walk rates, allowing for a ton of balls to be put in play. That’s a big reason he’s allowed only one fewer single than the aforementioned Lorenzen, Martinez, and Anderson.
Martin has allowed a much higher batting average to right-handed hitters, especially over the last couple of months. Righties have hit .263 while lefties have managed only a .203 average. That’s a plus for Alejandro Kirk.
Kirk also profiles extremely well against Martin’s pitch mix, and is hitting .360 over the last two months. Kirk has hit only seven homers through 61 games so he doesn’t possess a lot of power. He is also slow, making it more difficult for him to grind out extra base hits.
A lot of his hits are singles, which is why he’s managed to record at least one in 61% of his games this season.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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