Chicago @ Toronto picks
Rogers Centre
CHW vs TOR Picks
MLB Picks
Total Bases


Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
On the season, Guerrero Jr. has a .286 batting average. However, the Jays slugger’ underlying metrics have been remarkable. He leads the majors with a .326 xBA, while ranking in the 97th percentile in hard hit rate.
Total Singles


Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Davis Martin presents a very nice matchup when chasing hits. He owns low strikeout rates and low walk rates, allowing for a ton of balls to be put in play. Kirk also profiles extremely well against Martin’s pitch mix, and is hitting .360 over the last two months.
Total RBIs

Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best field in the game for RHB home runs.. Miguel Vargas hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball batters like Miguel Vargas tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Spencer Turnbull.
Total RBIs

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his batting average ability, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best field in the game for RHB home runs.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team playing today.
Total RBIs

Addison Barger o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run skill, Addison Barger ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Addison Barger is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Grant Taylor throws from, Addison Barger will have an advantage in today's game.
Total Bases

Miguel Vargas o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best field in the game for RHB home runs.. Miguel Vargas hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball batters like Miguel Vargas tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Spencer Turnbull.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Miguel Vargas o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best field in the game for RHB home runs.. Miguel Vargas hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball batters like Miguel Vargas tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Spencer Turnbull.
Outs Recorded

Davis Martin u17.5 Outs Recorded (-114)
Projection 15.7 (Under)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s judgement, Davis Martin's overall pitching talent grades out in the 18th percentile out of all starting pitchers in the league currently.. Rogers Centre projects as the #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks.. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox.. Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Davis Martin today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Will Robertson o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #3 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks.. Will Robertson will hold the platoon advantage against Grant Taylor in today's game.. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the worst out of every team playing today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Will Robertson will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his batting average ability, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best field in the game for RHB home runs.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team playing today.
Total Bases

Andrew Benintendi o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks.. Batting from the opposite that Spencer Turnbull throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have an edge today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ryan Noda o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #3 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Turnbull throws from, Ryan Noda will have an edge in today's matchup.. Ryan Noda has strong power (79th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (34.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Spencer Turnbull is a pitch-to-contact type (2nd percentile K%) — great news for Noda.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.271) provides evidence that Ryan Noda has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .234 actual wOBA.